{"id":8465,"date":"2023-12-01T11:42:40","date_gmt":"2023-12-01T11:42:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/?page_id=8465"},"modified":"2023-12-01T11:42:43","modified_gmt":"2023-12-01T11:42:43","slug":"4-12-17","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/4-12-17\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 – “\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 (2020)"},"content":{"rendered":"

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1<\/sup> \u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0628\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0627\u2013 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u2013 \u0645\u062f\u0646\u064a\u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n

\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a : morsal201675@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

2<\/sup> \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 – \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n

\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a : profalnory@gmail.com<\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2023, 4(12); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj412\/17<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0641<\/a><\/p>\n

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<\/a>Research title <\/strong><\/p>\n

Using Some Statistical Models to Estimate and Analyze The Influencing Factors in Job Satisfaction in Government Institutions<\/strong><\/p>\n

A case Study of Employees of The Gezira State Water Authority, Sudan (2020)\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Yasier Ismail Mohammed Abd Alwahab1<\/sup> Prof \\ Ahmed Hamad Alnoory2<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n

1<\/sup> PhD Student \u2013 Department of Applied Statistics \u2013 Faculty of Economics and Rural Development \u2013 University of Gezira \u2013 Sudan<\/p>\n

Email: morsal201675@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

2<\/sup>Associate Doctor at the Faculty of Economics and Rural Development \u2013 University of Gezira \u2013 Sudan<\/p>\n

Email: profalnory@gmail.com<\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2023, 4(12); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj412\/17<\/p>\n

Published at 01\/12\/2023 Accepted at 15\/11\/2023 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Abstract <\/strong><\/p>\n

This study aimed to apply the logistic regression model and how to use it to identify the most important factors that increase the level of job satisfaction by predicting the level of job satisfaction for workers in the Gezira State Water Authority. By studying the relationship between job satisfaction and the independent variables: (professional affiliation, administrative dealings, salaries and wages, incentives and rewards, work environment, dealing with colleagues, the role of the organization towards society). The study concluded: The obtained logistic regression model is a moral and capable model. Ali predicted the level of job satisfaction for workers in the Gezira State Water Authority, and found that the independent variables are factors affecting the level of job satisfaction, and found that the fifth variable (X5) (dealing with colleagues) contributes by (89%) to job satisfaction, followed by the first variable (X1 ) (occupational satisfaction) and contributes by (82.2%) to job satisfaction, followed by the second variable (X2) (administrative dealings) and contributes by (76%) to job satisfaction, followed by the fourth variable (X4) (work environment) and contributes by (64.8%) ) on job satisfaction, followed by the sixth variable (X6) (water corpora role toward society) and contributes by (63.4%) to job satisfaction, and finally the third variable (X3) (salaries, wages, incentives and bonuses) and contributes by (59%) to job satisfaction. The study using the binary logistic regression model Workers’ job satisfaction, extension of the binary logistic regression model so that the qualitative dependent variable takes more than two categories.<\/p>\n

Key Words: <\/strong>Logistic Regression \u2013 Job Satisfaction \u2013 Independent Variables- Professional Satisfaction \u2013 Water Corpora Role Toward Society.<\/p>\n

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\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0634\u064a\u0648\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0647 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062a\u0628\u064a (\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u060c 2002\u0645(.<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 (\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0633 \u060c2012\u0645).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0644\u0642\u062f \u0633\u0639\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0635\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0625\u0639\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0632\u0648\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0643\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0622\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u063a\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0645 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u064a \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0644\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062d\u064a\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u060c(\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u060c2013\u0645).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0633\u0646\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627 \u062a\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0624\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0647\u0644 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0623\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u060c\u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0624\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u062f\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u062f\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0643\u064a \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u062e\u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u060c\u0648\u0644\u0645 \u062a\u0643\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0623\u064a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u062e\u0627\u0631\u0637\u0629 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0633\u0642 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n

\u0623\u0633\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

1- \u0647\u0644 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/p>\n

2- \u0645\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629\u061f<\/p>\n

4- \u0645\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/p>\n

3- \u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/p>\n

4- \u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0646\u0645\u0648\u062f\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629\u061f<\/p>\n

\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 : <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0647\u0648 \u0625\u062b\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 .<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0639\u064a\u0629 : <\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0640\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u061f<\/li>\n
  2. \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/li>\n
  3. \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0640\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/li>\n
  4. \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0646\u0645\u0648\u062f\u062c \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u061f<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

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    1- \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u062f\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u062a\u062e\u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

    2- \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n

    3- \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629.<\/p>\n

      \n
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      \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n

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      2\/ \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0639\u0637\u064a \u0639\u0636\u0648 \u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0633 \u0625\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0633\u0627\u064b \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0647 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0631 .<\/p>\n

      3\/ \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0647\u064a\u0626 \u0623\u0639\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0636\u0648 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u0647 \u0648\u0645\u062a\u0645\u0633\u0643\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0647 .<\/p>\n

      4\/ \u0625\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u0647\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0636\u0648 \u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062d\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0639\u062f \u0625\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0639\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0636\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u062a\u0647.<\/p>\n

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      \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 <\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u064a \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0628\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0636\u0631 (\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0633 \u060c2012\u0645)<\/sub><\/strong> .<\/p>\n

      \u064a\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (Dependent Variable) \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0646\u0647\u062a\u0645 \u0628\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0648\u0644\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u062a\u064a\u0646 (0,1) \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (1) \u0628\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 (p) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (0) \u0628\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 (1-p) q= \u0623\u064a \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647\u0627 (\u0642\u0627\u0633\u0645 \u060c 2011 \u0645).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 (\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 (\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0633 \u060c2012\u0645).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a: (Logistic Regression Model):<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0635\u0627\u0631\u062a \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u062c\u0632\u0623 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 , \u0648 \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0641\u0635\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0648\u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631, \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a.(Hosmer,2000)<\/sub><\/strong> .<\/p>\n

      \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 (Y) \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 (X) \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 S \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629 (Logistic Function) \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a :<\/p>\n

      F(x)= E(y\/x) =<\/p>\n

      \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      E(y\/x) : \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629(y)\u0639\u0646\u062f \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f(x) .<\/p>\n

      e : \u062a\u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a(loge<\/sub> = ln)<\/p>\n

      \u03b20<\/sub> \u03b21<\/sub> : \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 [ p =E(y\/x)] \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 y \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b( Binary) \u062d\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (\u0635\u0641\u0631) \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f) \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062c\u0627\u062d \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646(p)\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

      P = E(y\/x) =<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0644\u0643\u064a \u0646\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062e\u0637\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u03b20<\/sub> , \u03b21 <\/sub>\u0641\u0625\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a ( Logistic Transformation) \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646<\/p>\n

      Logit = loge<\/sub> = ln<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062e\u0637\u064a \u0641\u064a \u03b20<\/sub> , \u03b21<\/sub> \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627 :<\/p>\n

      .( \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u064a<\/sub><\/em> \u060c 2017<\/sub><\/strong>)<\/sub><\/em> . P =<\/p>\n

      1 \u2013 P = 1 \u2013 =<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0625\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      [ 1 – ]\u00f7<\/strong> =<\/p>\n

      \u00f7<\/strong> =<\/p>\n

      ( = \u00d7 =<\/p>\n

      =<\/p>\n

      .Ln () = ln [] =<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 ( Odds Ratio ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      OR =<\/p>\n

      P = = (P+ORP)= OR \u2192 P(1+OR) = OR<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      OR= and P =<\/p>\n

      \u0625\u0630\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      P =1 \u2013 P = 1 \u2013<\/p>\n

      \u0625\u0630\u0646 \u0641\u0625\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      [ 1 – ]\u00f7 OR = =\u00f7 =( = \u00d7 =<\/p>\n

      \u0625\u0630\u0646 \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646<\/p>\n

      OR =<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u0625\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      P = =<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u0625\u0646 :<\/p>\n

      .( \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u064a<\/sub><\/em> \u060c 2017<\/sub><\/strong>)<\/sub><\/em>. P = E (Y\/X) =<\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0634\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 Maximum Likelihood)) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f (n) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646 (p1<\/sub>,p2<\/sub>,\u2026\u2026.,pn<\/sub>) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0628\u062d\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0636\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a :(1999\u060cDavid).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      L=prob(p1<\/sub>,p2<\/sub>,\u2026\u2026.,pn<\/sub>)<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0648 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u0623\u0639\u0637\u062a \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0628\u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0641\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 2 \u0645\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 (-2 Log\u201dL\u201d) \u0627\u0635\u063a\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 .<\/p>\n

      \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0628\u062d\u0630\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u062a\u0641\u0633\u0631 (b1<\/sub>) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (y) \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 (x) . \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u064a\u0634\u0631\u062d \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 (x) . \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0647\u064a \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 exp(b1<\/sub>) \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 (\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u00f7 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647) \u0645\u062b\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0648 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0647\u0648 (0.67) \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 (0.67\/0.33) \u0648\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0633\u064a\u0642\u0639 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0647\u064a \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0635\u0639\u0628 \u060c \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628\u0629 \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0646\u062a\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (Wald test) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0639\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0637\u0628\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u0635 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631 (\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a) \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 H0<\/sub>:b1<\/sub>=0<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f (Wald Statistic) \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a : (1999\u060cDavid).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      ]2<\/sup><\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0622\u064a(Chi square Statistic) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0628\u0628\u0633\u0627\u0637\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 (t) \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 :<\/p>\n

      \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 (Maximum Likelihood) \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0622\u064a (Chi square Statistic)) : \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 :<\/p>\n

      \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 i: \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0647\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646 . \u0647\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 .<\/p>\n

      \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0622\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f . \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0625\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

      \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 () , \u064a\u062c\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0623\u0645 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a . (1999\u060cDavid).<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 <\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u062a\u0628\u0639\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0621\u0645 \u0645\u0639 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0632\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 .(SPSS )).<\/p>\n

      \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0636\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u062f (8) \u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0631\u0626\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0628\u0644\u063a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u06272462)) \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0648\u0632\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0631\u0626\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0636\u0645 \u0639\u062f\u062f (5) \u0623\u0642\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u062e\u0635\u0635\u0629 \u0647\u064a :] \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0626\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0626\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u062f\u0627\u062f \u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a \u2013 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 [<\/p>\n

      \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0642\u0645\u0646\u0627 \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0633\u062d\u0628 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0636\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u062f (8) \u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0632\u0639\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0631\u0626\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 (200) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (1) : \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/td>\n\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a<\/td>\n\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062f\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649<\/td>\n425<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629<\/td>\n376<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0627\u062d\u064a\u0635\u0627<\/td>\n445<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629<\/td>\n408<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0644<\/td>\n341<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646<\/td>\n250<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0649<\/td>\n102<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0634\u064a<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0631\u0626\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0644\u0629<\/td>\n2462<\/td>\n200<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645<\/p>\n

      \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0648\u0636\u0639\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a ( \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0631\u2013\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u0629\u2013\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0629\u2013\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u2013\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644)\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u062a\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u062a\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0641\u064a :<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 : \u0648\u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a \u060c\u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

      \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a \u060c \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u060c \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639. \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u0633\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u062e\u0645\u0633 \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0647\u064a (\u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629 \u060c \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u060c \u0645\u062d\u0627\u064a\u062f\u060c \u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u060c \u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629 ( \u060c \u0648\u0628\u0639\u062f \u062a\u0635\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0643\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u0630\u0641 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0622\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a (SPSS) \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0639\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0632\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 :<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0634\u062a\u0647\u0627 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (2) : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      \u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X1<\/sub><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X2<\/sub><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X3<\/sub><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X4<\/sub><\/td>\n\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X5<\/sub><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X6<\/sub><\/td>\n\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645<\/p>\n

      \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (1) \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0643\u0631\u0648\u0633\u0648\u0641\u062a \u0625\u0643\u0633\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1) \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0648\u0631 (180) \u0648\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (90%) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062b (20) \u0648\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (10%) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0641\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (90%) \u0645\u0646 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644(10%) \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u064a .<\/p>\n

      \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (2) : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0643\u0631\u0648\u0633\u0648\u0641\u062a \u0625\u0643\u0633\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \n

      \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (2) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a 62% \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u060c \u062b\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 15% \u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u062d\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 14% \u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u062d\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0648\u0633 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 6% \u060c \u062b\u0645 \u062d\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 1%. \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u064a\u0639\u062f \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a.<\/p>\n

      \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (3) : \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u0627\u0626\u0641 \u0644\u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0643\u0631\u0648\u0633\u0648\u0641\u062a \u0625\u0643\u0633\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (3) \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a %43.8\u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a\u0647\u0645 %17.2 \u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a\u0647\u0645%11.8 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 %7.4 \u060c \u062b\u0645 \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 %6.4 \u060c \u0648\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 %5.9 . \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u062f\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062e\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0631\u0629 .<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0632\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 (SPSS) \u062a\u062d\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a<\/p>\n

      \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (3): \u062a\u0643\u0648\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0647<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      <\/td>\nB<\/strong><\/td>\nS.E.<\/strong><\/td>\nWald<\/strong><\/td>\nd.f<\/strong><\/td>\nSig.<\/strong><\/td>\nExp(B)<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Step 1<\/td>\nX1<\/td>\n2.45<\/td>\n0.686<\/td>\n12.76<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.002<\/td>\n11.59<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X2<\/td>\n1.67<\/td>\n0.484<\/td>\n11.91<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.003<\/td>\n5.31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X3<\/td>\n2.5<\/td>\n0.775<\/td>\n10.41<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.014<\/td>\n12.18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X4<\/td>\n-2.32<\/td>\n0.797<\/td>\n8.48<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.018<\/td>\n10. 18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X5<\/td>\n4.54<\/td>\n0.705<\/td>\n41.47<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.003<\/td>\n93.69<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      X6<\/td>\n1.59<\/td>\n0.693<\/td>\n5.26<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.009<\/td>\n4.90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      Constant<\/td>\n4.02<\/td>\n0.825<\/td>\n23.74<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0.006<\/td>\n55.70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c :<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Hosmer and Lemeshow \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647 .<\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) Hosmer and Lemeshow Test :<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
      \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a<\/td>\n\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      0.613<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n0.001<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Hosmer and Lemeshow \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a (0.613) \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a (0.001) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629(0.005) \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629. \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (8).<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0633\u0647\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0625\u0633\u0647\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f Cox & Snell R Square ) \u0648( Nagelkerke R Square \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644(5)<\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (5) : \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
      Step<\/strong><\/td>\n-2 Log likelihood<\/strong><\/td>\nR2<\/sup> Cox & Snell<\/sub><\/strong><\/td>\nR 2<\/sup> Nagelkerke<\/sub><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      1<\/td>\n27.691<\/td>\n0.186<\/td>\n0.863<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (5) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0627 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0635\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 (-2Log=27.691) \u060c\u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 (Cox & Snell <\/sub>2<\/sup> R) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a(0.186) \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a (Nagelkerke <\/sub><\/strong>2<\/sup> R) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a (0.863) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633 \u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 (2<\/sup>R) \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644 (Cox & Snell<\/sub> 2 <\/sup> R<\/strong>) \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (18.6%) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 (R2<\/sup> Nagelkerke<\/sub><\/strong>) \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627\u064b (86.3%) \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a .<\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (6) : \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      <\/td>\n\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 = \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 = \u0631\u0627\u0636<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n

      		\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n

      		\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n

      		\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

      Step 1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      3<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      4<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      5<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      6<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      7<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.000<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      8<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n14.000<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      9<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n46.000<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (6) \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0630\u0643\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062c\u064a\u062f \u0648\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

      \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (7): \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
      Step<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      1<\/td>\n130.033<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644(7) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (61) \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (6) \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a \u0648\u0647\u064a (130.033) \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a (0.000) \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.05) \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c.<\/p>\n

      \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (8) : \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0626\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0623 \u0628\u0647<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627<\/strong><\/td>\n\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n13<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n%6.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n0<\/td>\n180<\/td>\n%90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n%96.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

      \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (8) \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0626\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a (96.5%) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0645 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0647\u0645 (193) \u0634\u062e\u0635 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0635\u0644 (200) \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a (96.5%) \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0645 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626 \u0647\u0645 (7 ) \u0623\u0634\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a (%3.5).<\/p>\n

      \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c:<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2) \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644 (B) \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a (, ) \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a:<\/p>\n

      E() = 4.02+4.54X5<\/sub>+2.45X1<\/sub>+2.37X2<\/sub>+ 2.32 X4<\/sub><\/strong><\/p>\n

      \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644: \u0641\u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 (S.E) \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 =hii<\/sub>) S.E( \u0627\u0630 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 (hii<\/sub>) \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0635\u0641\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u060c<\/p>\n

      \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b : \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0629 (WALD) \u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0643\u0622\u064a \u062a\u0644\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0639 \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (1) .<\/p>\n

      \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f .<\/p>\n

      \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633: \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0638\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.05) \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0646\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 ) \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a \u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621\u060c \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 ( \u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0623\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 )\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a).<\/p>\n

      \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633 \u0641\u062a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0648\u0642\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b (\u0631\u0627\u0636) \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 () \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 [EXP(B)] \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b (\u0631\u0627\u0636) \u0633\u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d.<\/p>\n

        \n
      • \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 (X5<\/sub>) )\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a) \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 (b5<\/sub>=4.54) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.001 ) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (1) \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f (Wald= 41.47) .<\/li>\n
      • \u062c\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a (X1<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a) \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a) \u0625\u0630 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 (b1<\/sub>=2.45) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.003 ) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (1) \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f (Wald= 12.76)<\/li>\n
      • \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 (X2<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0647\u0648 (b2<\/sub>=2.37) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.003 ) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (1) \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f (Wald= 12.01) .<\/li>\n
      • \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 (X4<\/sub>) (\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0647\u0648 (b4<\/sub>=2.32) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (0.002) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 (1) \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f (Wald= 11.08) .<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629RESULTS<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

        -1 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

        -2 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0630\u0648 \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629.<\/p>\n

        -3 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629.<\/p>\n

        -4\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (X1<\/sub>,X2<\/sub>,X4<\/sub>,X5<\/sub>) \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 )\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a(.<\/p>\n

        (%86.3) <\/strong>-5 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 )\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a) \u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (X1<\/sub>,X2<\/sub>,X4<\/sub>,X5<\/sub><\/strong>) \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 (%13.7) \u0647\u064a \u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c\u0623\u0648 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0636\u0645\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.<\/p>\n

        -6 (%87.4) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0646\u062c\u0627\u062d \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a (0.000) \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n

        (%87.6) -7 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0634\u0639\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062e\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0645\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0647\u0645 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (0.000) \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n

        -8\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633 (X5<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621) \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629(%89) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a\u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644 (X1<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u0646\u064a) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (%82.2) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a (X2<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (%76) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a\u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639 (X4<\/sub>) (\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (%64.8) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a\u060c \u064a\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633 (X6<\/sub>) (\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (%63.4) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b (X3<\/sub>) (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a) \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 (%59 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a.<\/p>\n

        -9\u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 (%96.5) \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 (%3.5) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631.<\/p>\n

        -10 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 .<\/p>\n

        \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a:<\/p>\n

        -1\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0626\u062a\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

        -2\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0635\u0635\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0630\u0627 \u0637\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a.<\/p>\n

        -3 \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

        -4\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

        -5\u0628\u0639\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0638\u0647\u0631\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641 \u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0641\u064a\u0632\u0647\u0645 \u0645\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0631\u0636\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a.<\/p>\n

        -6\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0622\u062a \u0648\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

        -7\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0647\u0645.<\/p>\n

        -8 \u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0623\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

        -9\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0635 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639 \u0644\u0622\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644.<\/p>\n

        -10 \u0625\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629.<\/p>\n

        \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u062a\u0645\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0631\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0648\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0630\u0648 \u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 <\/strong>\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (X1<\/sub>,X2<\/sub>,X4<\/sub>,X5<\/sub>) \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 )\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a(. \u0648\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 (%86.3) \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 )\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a) \u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (X1<\/sub>,X2<\/sub>,X4<\/sub>,X5<\/sub><\/strong>) \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 (%13.7) \u0647\u064a \u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c\u0623\u0648 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0636\u0645\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.<\/p>\n

        \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 <\/strong><\/p>\n

          \n
        1. \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0646\u064a. \u0641\u0624\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u0645 \u060c”\u0645\u0639\u062c\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0627\u0628.” \u0628\u064a\u0631\u0648\u062a: \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0631\u0642\u060c 1997\u0645.<\/li>\n
        2. \u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635 \u0632\u0643\u064a \u0641\u0631\u062c\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062f\u064a \u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u064a ,\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0628\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f(36)\u060c2013\u0645.<\/li>\n
        3. \u0625\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u060c \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062d\u0645\u0646 ” \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a ” \u0645\u0639\u0647\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0648\u062f\u064a\u0629 .(2001\u0645).<\/li>\n
        4. \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u064a \u060c \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f \u0631\u0634\u0627\u062f . \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a.\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0644\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0634\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649\u060c2017\u0645<\/li>\n
        5. \u0639\u0643\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u062e\u0627\u0644\u062f \u060c \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 SPSS \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0647\u0631\u060c \u063a\u0632\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646 \u060c 2002\u0645\u060c\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649.<\/li>\n
        6. \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0633 \u060c \u0639\u0644\u064a \u062e\u0636\u0631 \u060c \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0631\u0643\u0648\u0643 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u060c 2012\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 .<\/li>\n
        7. \u0642\u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0646 \u0628\u0647\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0632\u0627\u0642 \u060c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0635\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u060c 2011\u0645\u060c27.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

          \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0644\u064a\u0632\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

            \n
          1. Hosmer , David . W. Applied Logistic Regression. Second Edition. Stanley Lemeshow. 2000.<\/li>\n
          2. David C. Hallett . ” Goodness Of Fit Tests In logistic Regression” . 1999<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

            \n

            \n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

            \u064a\u0627\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0647\u0627\u06281 \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0641 \/ \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u062d\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0631\u064a2 1 \u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0628\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0627\u2013 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u2013 \u0645\u062f\u0646\u064a\u2013 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a : […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-8465","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8465","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8465"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8465\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8495,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8465\/revisions\/8495"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8465"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}