{"id":7322,"date":"2023-07-01T09:19:15","date_gmt":"2023-07-01T09:19:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/?page_id=7322"},"modified":"2023-07-01T09:22:43","modified_gmt":"2023-07-01T09:22:43","slug":"4-7-4","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/4-7-4\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 &#8211; \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 2000-2022\u0645"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062f. \u062c\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0628\u0648 \u062c\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u064a \u0636\u062d\u064a\u0629<sup>1<\/sup><\/strong> <strong>\u062f. \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0645\u062f<sup>2<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><sup>1<\/sup> \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: majabi11@hotmail.com<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><sup>2<\/sup> \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u063a\u0631\u0628 \u0643\u0631\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">HNSJ, 2023, 4(7); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj474<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/4\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631-\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a-\u0641\u064a-\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f-\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643-\u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632-\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c-\u0641\u064a-\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.pdf\">Download<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631: 01\/07\/2023\u0645 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644: 17\/06\/2023\u0645<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 2000-2022\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 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\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0623\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a, \u0645\u0639 \u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d\u064a\u0629: <\/strong>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c\u060c \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a\u060c \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0639\u0629\u060c \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a id=\"post-7322-GrindEQpgref5f741fe61\"><\/a><strong>Research title <\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Testing the Ricardian Equivalence Hypothesis in Determining Double Deficit Behavior in Sudan: <\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>An Econometrics Study during the period 2000 \u2013 2022<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Dr. Jaralnabi Babou Jaralnabi<\/strong> <strong><sup>1<\/sup>Dr. Zonoon Mohamed Hamed<sup>2<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><sup>1<\/sup> Associate professor of Econometrics, ALSALAM University, Sudan.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">Email: majabi11@hotmail.com<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><sup>2<\/sup> Assistance professor of Econometrics, W. Kordofan University, Sudan.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">HNSJ, 2023, 4(7); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj474<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Published at 01\/07\/2023 Accepted at 17\/06\/2023 <\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Abstract <\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">The study aimed to test the extent to which the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis was achieved in determining the behavior of double deficit in Sudan economy during the period 2000 &#8211; 2022, and it depends on the econometrics method by estimating autoregressive distributed lag model and Granger causality test, and the results revealed that the relationship was not significant between the general budget deficit and current account deficit, and there was no causal relationship between them, and all diagnostic tests confirmed the validity of the estimation results, which means accepting the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis that there is no relationship between the general budget deficit and current account deficit, and recommended encouraging the private sector to increase savings under the tax reduction policies, in order to compensate for any decrease in government saving, with the need to rationalize and control public spending and best management of foreign debt.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Key Words: <\/strong>double deficit, Ricardian equivalence hypothesis, autoregressive distributed lag model, Granger Causality, Sudan.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 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\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a(Robert, Barro, 1988) \u0623\u0647\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0636.<\/li>\n<li>\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 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\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0645 \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0634\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0644\u062a\u0643\u064a\u064a\u0641 \u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0647\u0645 \u0648\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0645 \u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u064a\u063a\u0637\u0649 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u062a\u063a\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0623\u062d\u062f \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 (Kennedy, Gor and Mbith, 2014).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0645\u0627(Albu and Pelinescu, 2001)\u060c \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0628\u0631\u062f\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 (Fetherston and Godley, 1978).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f \u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642)\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0632\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632( \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u063a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0644\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0625\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0633\u064a\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0628\u0621 \u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0639\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(1)\u060c \u0623\u0646 \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0645\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 2000- 2022\u0645\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0644\u063a \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 -6241.8 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0642\u0635\u0627\u0647 \u0643\u0627\u0646 -517.6 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2000\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a \u0648\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0628\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u062a\u0635\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0646\u0639\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(1): \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 2000-2022<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 2000- 2022\u0645\u060c \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0644\u063a \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 -494510.4 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0642\u0635\u0627\u0647 \u0643\u0627\u0646 225522 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2022\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0646\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0643\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0625\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(2).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(2): \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 2000-2022<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u060c \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b: \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(2)\u060c \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0639 \u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0639\u0629 ARDL.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(1): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 :<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">Tests<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Variables<\/td>\n<td>ADF(Level)<\/td>\n<td>ADF(Diff)<\/td>\n<td>PP(Level)<\/td>\n<td>PP(Diff)<\/td>\n<td>Critical V 5%<\/td>\n<td>Decision<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CAD<\/td>\n<td>-2.9187<\/td>\n<td>-6.8260<\/td>\n<td>-2.8687<\/td>\n<td>-9.7533<\/td>\n<td>-3.0049<\/td>\n<td>1(1)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GD<\/td>\n<td>-1.3080<\/td>\n<td>-4.0397<\/td>\n<td>-1.4197<\/td>\n<td>-4.0397<\/td>\n<td>-3.0049<\/td>\n<td>1(1)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b: \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 F-Bounds:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(2) \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f Bound test \u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 F- Statistics (3.539848) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 5%\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(2): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 F- Bound<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>F-Bounds Test<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"4\">Null Hypothesis: No levels relationship<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Test Statistic<\/td>\n<td>Value<\/td>\n<td>Signif.<\/td>\n<td>I(0)<\/td>\n<td>I(1)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>F-statistic<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;3.539848<\/td>\n<td>10%<\/td>\n<td>3.02<\/td>\n<td>3.51<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>k<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>5%<\/td>\n<td>3.62<\/td>\n<td>4.16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>2.5%<\/td>\n<td>4.18<\/td>\n<td>4.79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>1%<\/td>\n<td>4.94<\/td>\n<td>5.58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u0642\u0645(3) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647\u060c \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (3): \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 Akaike \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0631\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0626\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u060c \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 AIC \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c ARDL(3,0).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(4): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 Akaike:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0627\u064b: \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c(ARDL)\u060c \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 (-0.571451) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629(0.0034) \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(3)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 5%\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0647 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0648\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(3): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0634\u062c \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">ECM Regression<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Variable<\/td>\n<td>Coefficient<\/td>\n<td>Std. Error<\/td>\n<td>t-Statistic<\/td>\n<td>Prob.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D(CAD(-1))<\/td>\n<td>-0.265947<\/td>\n<td>0.165525<\/td>\n<td>-1.606685<\/td>\n<td>0.1290<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>D(CAD(-2))<\/td>\n<td>-0.431422<\/td>\n<td>0.169161<\/td>\n<td>-2.550365<\/td>\n<td>0.0222<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>CointEq(-1)*<\/td>\n<td>-0.571451<\/td>\n<td>0.164720<\/td>\n<td>-3.469219<\/td>\n<td>0.0034<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633\u0627\u064b: \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(4) \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0634\u0627\u0631\u062a \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c ARDL \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a(0.005161) \u0628\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629(0.0581)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646(5%)\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645(H<sub>0<\/sub>) \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646, \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">EC= CAD-(0.0052*GD -3521.214)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(4): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">ARDL Long Run Form and Bounds Test<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Variable<\/td>\n<td>Coefficient<\/td>\n<td>Std. Error<\/td>\n<td>t-Statistic<\/td>\n<td>Prob.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GD<\/td>\n<td>0.005161<\/td>\n<td>0.002516<\/td>\n<td>2.051131<\/td>\n<td>0.0581<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>C<\/td>\n<td>-3521.214<\/td>\n<td>609.0532<\/td>\n<td>-5.781454<\/td>\n<td>0.0000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u064b: \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u0627\u0621\u062a \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0639\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(5) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(5): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">Pair wise Granger Causality Tests<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;Null Hypothesis:<\/td>\n<td>Obs<\/td>\n<td>F-Statistic<\/td>\n<td>Prob.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>&nbsp;GD does not Granger Cause CAD<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;20<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;0.88031<\/td>\n<td>0.4350<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">&nbsp;CAD does not Granger Cause GD<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;1.35982<\/td>\n<td>0.2866<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0627\u064b: \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0645 \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">1- \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Jarque-Bera<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (prob Jarque- Bera) \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(6) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647\u060c (0.731265) \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 5% \u0623\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 (H<sub>0<\/sub>) \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0641\u0645(6): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Jarque- Bera<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Jarque- Bera value<\/td>\n<td>0.625959<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>probability<\/td>\n<td>0.731265<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>2- \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631Ramsey RESET \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a(prob=0.0549)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636(5%)\u060c \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645(H<sub>0<\/sub>)\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0641 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(7) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(7): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 :Ramsey RESET (Regression Error Specification Test)<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Value<\/td>\n<td>df<\/td>\n<td>Probability<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>t-statistic<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;2.094396<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;14<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;0.0549<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>F-statistic<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;4.386494<\/td>\n<td>(1, 14)<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;0.0549<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>3- \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c Cusum &amp; Cusum of squares :<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0642\u0645(5) \u0648(6) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c(\u0623\u064a \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0623\u064a \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u0641\u0632\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0641\u0627\u062c\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646)\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u0639 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636(5%)\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0625\u0646\u0633\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Cusum If Squares \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (6): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Cusum \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (5): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>4- \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (0.1312) \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (8) \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 5%\u060c \u0623\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 (H<sub>0<\/sub>) \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(8): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>F-statistic<\/td>\n<td>0.787534<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Prob. F(2,13)<\/td>\n<td>0.4755<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Obs*R-squared<\/td>\n<td>2.161317<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Prob. Chi-Square(2)<\/td>\n<td>0.3394<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>5- \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631(0.1981)\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644(9)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 5% \u0623\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 (H<sub>0<\/sub>) \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645(9): \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Heteroskedasticity Test: Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>F-statistic<\/td>\n<td>1.719249<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Prob. F(4,15)<\/td>\n<td>0.1981<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Obs*R-squared<\/td>\n<td>6.286966<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Prob. Chi-Square(4)<\/td>\n<td>0.1787<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Scaled explained SS<\/td>\n<td>2.104036<\/td>\n<td>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Prob. Chi-Square(4)<\/td>\n<td>0.7166<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c 10 Eviews<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u062a\u0645\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b: \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0632\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0631\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\n<ul>\n<li>\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644.<\/li>\n<li>\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u062e\u064a\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u062f\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b: \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\n<ul>\n<li>\u062a\u0634\u062c\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0644 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u064a\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0623\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a.<\/li>\n<li>\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u0645\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0641\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0645\u0629.<\/li>\n<li>\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">1- \u0633\u0627\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u060c \u064a\u0648\u0633\u0641 \u064a\u062d\u0644\u0641 \u0645\u0633\u0639\u0648\u062f(2018)\u060c \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0623\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u064a: \u0623\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0627\u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u06393\u060c \u0635 \u0635 1 &#8211; 22.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2- \u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u064a\u0628(2017)\u060c \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0623\u0645 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0642\u0633\u0631\u064a\u061f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0644\u0629: \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0624\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0646\u0643\u062a\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0646\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0648\u0631\u0643\u060c \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0641\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062a\u0631\u0644\u0648\u060c \u0643\u0646\u062f\u0627\u060c \u0635 \u0635 1- 17.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">3- \u0645\u0648\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0648\u0631\u062f\u0629(2016)\u060c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0626\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 (2010 \u2013 1990) \u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c\u0645\u062e\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0629\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u064a\u062d\u064a\u064a \u0641\u0627\u0631\u0633\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0626\u0631\u060c \u0639 6\u060c \u0635 \u0635 208- 228.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">4- \u0623\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u062e\u0644\u064a\u0641\u0629(2015)\u060c &#8221; \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0635\u0631&#8221;\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0642\u0627\u0632\u064a\u0642\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0631 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0642\u0627\u0632\u064a\u0642 \u060c \u0645\u0635\u0631\u060c \u0635 \u0635 1-196.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">5- \u062d\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0625\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u0634\u062f(2004)\u060c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0635\u0631\u060c \u062a\u0648\u0646\u0633 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0635\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0648\u062d\u0629 \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0634\u0648\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">6- \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a(2000-2022)\u060c \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">7- \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a(2000-2022)\u060c \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">8- \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a(2021)\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">9- Lobna Al Khalifa, (2015),&#8221;THE TWIN DEFICITS HYPOTHESIS IN AN OIL BASED ECONOMY: THE CASE OF BAHRAIN&#8221;, <em>International Journal of Economics<\/em>, <em>Commerce and Management, <\/em>Vol. (III), No. (1), Pp1-13.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">10- BigBen Chukwuma Ogbonna, (2014),&#8221;Investigating for Twin Deficits Hypothesis in South Africa&#8221;, <em>Developing Country Studies<\/em>, Vol. (4), No. (10), Pp142-162.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">11- Marinheiro, C. F. (2007), \u201c<em>Ricardian equivalence, twin deficits, and the Feldstein\u2013Horioka puzzle in Egypt<\/em>\u201d, <em>Journal of Policy Modeling<\/em>, 30 (6), pp. 1041-1056.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">12- Robert J. Barro. (1988). \u201cThe Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits\u201d, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 37-54.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">11- Kennedy, O. and Mbith, M. (2014). \u201cThe Twin Deficit and the Macroeconomic Variables in Kenya\u201d, International Journal for Innovation Education and Research, Vol. 2, No. 9.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">13- Albu, Lucian Liviu &amp; Pelinescu, Elena, 2001. &#8220;<em>Short-Term Forecasting Of Six Macroeconomic Indicators<\/em>&#8220;, Journal for Economic Forecasting, <em>Institute for Economic Forecasting, <\/em>0(4), pp. 117-119.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">14- Fetherston, M.J. and Godley, W. (1978), \u201c<em>New Cambridge<\/em>\u201d <em>Macroeconomics and Global Monetarism: Some Issues in the Conduct of UK Economic Policy<\/em>&#8220;, in, K. Brunner and A.H. Meltzer (eds), <em>Public Policies in Open Economies, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, <\/em>vol. 9(1), pp 33\u201365.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u062f. \u062c\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0628\u0648 \u062c\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u064a \u0636\u062d\u064a\u06291 \u062f. \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u062d\u0627\u0645\u062f2 1 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646. \u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: majabi11@hotmail.com 2 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u063a\u0631\u0628 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-7322","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7322"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7322\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7354,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/7322\/revisions\/7354"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}