{"id":8249,"date":"2023-11-01T11:53:06","date_gmt":"2023-11-01T11:53:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/?page_id=8249"},"modified":"2023-11-01T11:53:12","modified_gmt":"2023-11-01T11:53:12","slug":"4-11-10","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/4-11-10\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 1990-2021\u0645"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u062f. \u0625\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u06431<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n

1<\/sup> \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0631\u0641\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n

\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: ibtisameljack@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2023, 4(11); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj41110<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0641<\/a><\/p>\n

\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631: 01\/11\/2023\u0645 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644: 20\/10\/2023\u0645<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0635 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021 . \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a (VAR) \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629, \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 (INF) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a (RGDP) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639. \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0643\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629. \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0642\u0629.,\u0648\u064a\u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0635\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u0641\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a ,\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a.<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d\u064a\u0629: <\/strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u060c \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u060c \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Research title <\/strong><\/p>\n

The impact of Inflation Rate on Real Gross Domestic Product in Sudan1990-2021<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ibtisam Eltayeb Eljack (Phd)1<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n

1<\/sup> Associate Professor in Economics-Economics department- Faculty of Economics &Administrative Sciences-Gadarif University-Gadarif -Sudan<\/p>\n

<\/a> Email: ibtisameljack@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2023, 4(11); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj41110<\/p>\n

Published at 01\/11\/2023 Accepted at 20\/10\/2023 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Abstract <\/strong><\/p>\n

This is study aimed to identified the impact of inflation rate on real gross domestic product (RGDP) in Sudan during 1990-2021.This study utilized the statistical method with Appling Vector Auto- Regressive technique (VAR) in order to estimate the specified model which is the inflation rate as independent variable and the (RGDP) as dependent variable. The secondary data were collected from official sources namely; annual reports of Central Bank of Sudan. The study found that: there is negative relation between inflation rate and RGDP, while there is a positive relationship between lagged RGDP and RGDP in recent year. the study recommended activate the monetary policies to prevent the inflation rate which affect the RGDP and control and censorship the prices level to alleviate the negative impact of inflation on Sudanese economy .<\/p>\n

Key Words: <\/strong>Real gross domestic product, Inflation rate, Vector Auto- Regressive.<\/p>\n

1-\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u062d\u0638\u0649 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0634\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0629 . \u0648\u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u062a\u062f\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0630\u0641\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 .\u064a\u0635\u0646\u0641 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0627 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0639 \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0633\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0633\u0643\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062f\u0646\u064a \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0646\u0627\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0641\u0627\u0626\u0636 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0641\u0636\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0632\u064a \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 .<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0643\u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u062f\u0628\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645. \u0648\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0645\u062a\u062e\u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0633\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629.<\/p>\n

\u062a\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0641\u0638\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u062a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0641\u0638\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0627 .<\/p>\n

\u0648\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a: \u0647\u0644 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

-\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u062a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0626 (VAR) \u0627\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 (INF) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a(RGDP)\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629. \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 (INF) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a (RGDP) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639.\u0648\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641\u064a \u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0645\u0629.<\/p>\n

\u0648\u062a\u0645 \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0631\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 ,\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0643\u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 .<\/p>\n

-\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646, 1990-2021\u0645<\/p>\n

-\u062a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 ,\u064a\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u062a\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n

–\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0646 , \u0643\u0627\u0638\u0645 2014: \u0627\u062c\u0631\u064a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a 1989-2010 \u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062b\u0628\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0648 \u0623\u0648\u0635\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0641\u0648\u0642\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624.<\/p>\n

\u0623\u062c\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a, \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0628\u062d\u0649 \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0644\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0648\u062f\u064a\u0629 1974-2010 . \u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 (Garch) \u0641\u064a \u0631\u0635\u062f \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0643\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0635\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0628\u062d\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645.<\/p>\n

2-\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

2-1\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 definition of inflation<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u064a\u0648\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0625\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0634\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641\u0647 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u064a \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u0647 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631,\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d, \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 ,\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0641\u0631\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0644\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0635\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 ..\u0625\u0644\u062e.<\/p>\n

\u0641\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0631 \u0622\u0643\u0644\u064a “Gardener Ackley” \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0642\u0637\u0639\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0636\u064a\u0641 \u0622\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646\u060c \u0648\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0643\u0646\u0629.<\/p>\n

\u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0648\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0642\u062a \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0635\u062d\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0625\u0641\u0631\u0627\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0644\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0635\u062d\u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 ( \u0646\u0627\u0635\u0641,\u061f\u061f\u061f\u061f).<\/p>\n

\u064a\u0631\u064a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0635\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0631\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0646 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0647 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0635\u0637\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u061b \u0648 \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629 \u0623\u0646 :-<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0633\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0631\u0642\u0645 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0645\u0648\u062d\u062f \u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0642\u062a\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u0627 .<\/p>\n

2-2 \u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 Types of Inflation <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0641\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0647\u064a:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062c\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628demand-pull: \u064a\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u060c \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0642\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631)\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639).<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629cost-push: \u064a\u0639\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0631\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0631\u0641\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626 \u0639\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a structural inflation: \u064a\u0646\u0634\u0623 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u060c \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0648\u0644\u0648 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u0637\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0643\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a. \u0625\u0630 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 (\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0622\u062e\u0631\u0648\u0646 2015\u0645).<\/p>\n

\u0648\u064a\u0635\u0646\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0627\u062d\u0641: \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u060c \u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0648\u062d \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 2-3% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0634\u064a: \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f 5 \u0627\u0644\u0649 10 % \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u064b \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0634\u0626 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u063a\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0636: \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 10% \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0636 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a 1979 \u060c 1974 \u060c 1973 \u060c \u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 26% \u0639\u0627\u0645 1973 \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 19% \u0633\u0646\u0629 1974 \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0628 25% \u0633\u0646\u0629 1979 .<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u062d : \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a (1923-1921) \u0623\u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0641\u0627\u064a\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0627\u0645 1945 \u0648\u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 ,\u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 50\u066a\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0643\u0644 \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 100\u066a \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645(\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0646 1983).<\/p>\n

2-3 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0628 \u0628\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0647 (\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u063a\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627 \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0643\u064a\u0646\u0632 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0642\u0648\u0644\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0647 (\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0628\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631) .<\/p>\n

2-4 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0633\u0628\u0628\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0623\u0647\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0631\u0648\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u062c\u0648\u0621 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u062a\u063a\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641\u064a \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0636\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0627\u063a\u0637\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u064a\u0646 .\u062a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0643\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u062a\u0645\u062a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0629 ( \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f, 1995\u0645) .<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u062f\u0623\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0623\u062e\u0631\u064a \u061b \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u062a \u0625\u0644\u064a \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0647 \u0623\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 .<\/p>\n

\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644(2-1) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021\u0645<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1990<\/td>\n67.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1991<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1992<\/td>\n80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1993<\/td>\n120<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1994<\/td>\n150<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1995<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1996<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1997<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1998<\/td>\n17.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1999<\/td>\n16.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2000<\/td>\n8.10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2001<\/td>\n5.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2002<\/td>\n8.30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2003<\/td>\n14.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2004<\/td>\n81.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2005<\/td>\n8.50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2006<\/td>\n120.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2007<\/td>\n8.70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2008<\/td>\n61.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>\n11.20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>\n13.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>\n30.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>\n35.10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>\n37.50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>\n15.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>\n16.90<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>\n30.50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>\n7.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>\n53.40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>\n57.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/td>\n269.30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2021<\/td>\n318.20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a<\/p>\n

2-4 \u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 Types of Inflation <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u0635\u0646\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u062f\u0628\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u060c \u0641\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0648\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u064a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0628\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u060c \u0641\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0647\u064a:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062c\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628demand-pull: \u064a\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u060c \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0642\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631)\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639).<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629cost-push: \u064a\u0639\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0631\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0631\u0641\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626 \u0639\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a: \u064a\u0646\u0634\u0623 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u060c \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0648\u0644\u0648 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u0637\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0643\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a. \u0625\u0630 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 (\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0622\u062e\u0631\u0648\u0646 2015\u0645).<\/p>\n

\u0648\u064a\u0635\u0646\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0627\u062d\u0641: \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u060c \u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0648\u062d \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 2-3% \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0632\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0634\u064a: \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f 5 \u0627\u0644\u0649 10 % \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u064b \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0634\u0626 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u063a\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0636: \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 10% \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0636 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a 1979 \u060c 1974 \u060c 1973 \u060c \u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 26% \u0639\u0627\u0645 1973 \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 19% \u0633\u0646\u0629 1974 \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0628 25% \u0633\u0646\u0629 1979 .<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u062d : \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f 40% \u0623\u0648 60% \u062d\u062a\u0649 200%\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0643\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u062f\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0647 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0633\u0646\u0629 1921\u060c 1923\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0648\u0628 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a (\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u060c \u06353).<\/p>\n

\u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627:<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u064a\u0642 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0634\u0648\u0641): \u064a\u062a\u0633\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0641\u0634\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a (\u0633\u064a\u062c\u0644 \u060c 1987) .<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u062f (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u0628\u0648\u062a): \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0639\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0644\u0623\u0642\u0635\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0641\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0625\u0630 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0628\u0642\u0649 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0641\u0634\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0641\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u060c \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062a\u062c\u0645\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u060c \u062a\u062b\u0628\u064a\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627(\u064a\u0633\u0631\u064a\u060c2007).<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

– \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0631\u062f: \u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0648\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c.<\/p>\n

\u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641: \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0631\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a (\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f\u060c \u063518\u060c 2015\u0645).<\/p>\n

2-5 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062f\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627.<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643 CPI \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0644\u0629 WPI \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c PPI \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0645\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a IDP \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0628\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644:<\/p>\n

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    \n
  1. \u064a\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u062c\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0623\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629(Intermediate goods) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0633\u0628 \u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0649 (\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2015).<\/li>\n
  2. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0648\u0646 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f \u0628\u063a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u0633\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0645 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0633\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629.<\/li>\n
  3. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0639\u0646 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631.<\/li>\n
  4. \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u0644\u0648\u0643\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0625\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649.<\/li>\n
  5. \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u0633\u0646\u0629(\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2015).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    2-7 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0649<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0623\u0649 \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 (\u0639\u0627\u0645) \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642(\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 Expenditure Approach<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0623\u0646\u062a\u062c\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 Gross Domestic Expenditure \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644GDP.<\/p>\n

      \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0646\u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0649:<\/p>\n

        \n
      1. \u0646\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644\u064a sector Household:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        \u0648\u064a\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u0649 (C) Consumption \u0648\u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u0644\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0645\u0631\u0629 Goods Durable \u0648\u064a\u0634\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0635\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0643\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0641 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0631…\u0627\u0644\u062e.<\/p>\n

          \n
        1. \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 (Id) Investment:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

          \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0649(\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0635\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0646\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0632\u0648\u0646 (\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2016).<\/p>\n

            \n
          1. \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0649 (G) Government \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0649:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

            \u0623\/\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u062a\u062a\u0644\u0642\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0647 \u0633\u0644\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0648\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0637\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n

            \u0628\/\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0644\u0642\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0647 \u0623\u0649 \u0633\u0644\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0646\u0634\u0627\u0637\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0627\u064b. \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0629 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629. \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0633 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0630\u0643\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062f\u0641\u0639\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n

              \n
            1. \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a (Nx) Exports Net:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

              \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646:<\/p>\n

              \u0623\/\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a(X)Exports: \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n

              \u0628\/\u0627\ufedf\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a (M) Imports: \u0648\u0647\u0649 \u062a\u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u060c \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0622\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n

              \u0625\u0630\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a= \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a- \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f\u0627\u062a(NX=X-M)<\/p>\n

              \u0648\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

              GDP = C + I + G + X \u2013 M<\/p>\n

                \n
              1. \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a Approach Product Final <\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649) \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0646\u0628\u0639\u0647 \u0623\u0649 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0642\u0647 \u0623\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f(\u0639\u0627\u0645)\u060c \u0648\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0645\u0627: \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639)\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0646\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062f\u062e\u0644\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u060c \u0648\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0635\u0641 \u0645\u0635\u0646\u0639\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629…\u0627\u0644\u062e) \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629(Product Final) \u0641\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 (\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2016).<\/p>\n

                  \n
                1. \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 Added Value<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                  \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \ufecb\ufee0\ufef0 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u064b(\u0633\u0646\u0629).\u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0636\u064a\u0641\u0647 \u0643\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649\u060c \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u062d\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0648\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639.<\/p>\n

                    \n
                  1. \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0643\u062a\u0633\u0628\u0629) Income Earning Approach<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                    \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0623\u064a \u0633\u0644\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631(\u0639\u0645\u0644\u060c \u0623\u0631\u0636\u060c \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645) \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0632\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0646\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628\u060c \u0641\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u064a\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f(\u062b\u0645\u0646) \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u0646\u062f \u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f(\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0646) \u0646\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0649(GDP) Product Domestic Gross \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a:-<\/p>\n

                    \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c=\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631+\u0631\u064a\u0639+ \u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f+\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d<\/p>\n

                    GDP= W + R+I +P<\/p>\n

                    \u0648\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0636\u0627\u062d \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u0646\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0635\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.<\/p>\n

                      \n
                    1. \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 (Wages(W<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                      \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0623\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0646\u0638\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0623\u0634\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627: \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0636\u0627\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u0649.<\/p>\n

                        \n
                      1. \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0639 (R) Rent<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                        \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0623\u062a\u0649 \u0639\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0646\u062f\u0631\u062c \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u062f \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627.<\/p>\n

                          \n
                        1. \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f (I)Interest<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                          \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062b\u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0648\u064a\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0631\u0624\u0648\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u062a\u0646\u062f\u0631\u062c \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a(\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2016).<\/p>\n

                            \n
                          1. \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d(Profit)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

                            \u0648\u064a\u0646\u062f\u0631\u062c \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u062f \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u060c \u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0628\u062d \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0623\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0631\u0623\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 (\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c2016).<\/p>\n

                            2-8 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u00d7\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 (\u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629)\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c (Real GDP) \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 (constant price) \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c(\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u060c2016).<\/p>\n

                            2-9 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            2-9-1 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0649<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0623\/\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-1998\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-2) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647 \u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 (1990\u0645-1998\u0645) \u0645\u0646 7.9 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1990\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 12.9 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1998\u0645.\u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0647 11.3% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1991\u0645 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u062d\u0648 1.2% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1990\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0632\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0642\u0642\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a (\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c1992)\u060c \u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 1992\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 1994\u0645 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 8% \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0632\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 – \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a)\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0644\u063a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 1994\u0645 9.5% \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u062d\u0642\u0642\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 1995\u0645 \u0644\u064a\u0635\u0644 7.6% \u06484% \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 1996\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u062a\u062e\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0648 1995\u0645 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u0628\u0644\u063a 130% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1996\u0645\u060c \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 1997\u0645 \u06481998\u0645 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0644\u064a\u0635\u0644 6.3% \u06486.4% \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 4.9% \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a \u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 1997\u0645 \u0648 1998\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0649 \u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0636\u0627\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a. \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u062a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a(\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062c\u060c2009).<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-2)<\/p>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-1998\u0645- \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a \u0628\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646<\/td>\n1990<\/td>\n1991<\/td>\n1992<\/td>\n1993<\/td>\n1994<\/td>\n1995<\/td>\n1996<\/td>\n1997<\/td>\n1998<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649<\/td>\n7.9<\/td>\n8.5<\/td>\n9.1<\/td>\n9.5<\/td>\n9.6<\/td>\n10.1<\/td>\n11.3<\/td>\n11.9<\/td>\n12.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648<\/td>\n1.2%<\/td>\n11.3%<\/td>\n6.5%<\/td>\n7.6%<\/td>\n9.5%<\/td>\n7.6%<\/td>\n4%<\/td>\n6.3%<\/td>\n6.4%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649 \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c 2018\u0645.<\/p>\n

                            \u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u00ad\u0628\/\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1999-2007\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (2-3) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647 \u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 (1999\u0645-2007\u0645) \u0645\u0646 12.4 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 1999\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 24.8 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2007\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0644\u063a 6%\u060c 8.3%\u060c 6.4%\u060c 6.5%\u060c 6.1%\u060c 7.2%\u060c 5.6%\u060c 9.9%\u060c 10.9% \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0630\u0643\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 7.4%\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0634\u0647\u062f\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0639\u062f \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u063a\u0633\u0637\u0633 1999\u0645 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u0648\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0644\u064a\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 6% \u06488.3% \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 1999\u0645 \u06482000\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 6.5% \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0649 \u0644\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0648\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0644 \u0643\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a. \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u062d\u0642\u0642\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645 2001\u0645 \u06482002\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2001\u0645 6.4% \u06486.5% \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a(\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062c\u060c2009).\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646 6.5% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2002\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 6.1% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2003\u0645 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 \u0628\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0642\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u0627\u062a\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0638\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0647 \u0645\u0646 7.3% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2002\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5.2% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2003\u0645 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062c\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u0627\u064b \u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2003). \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646 9.1% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2004\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 8.3% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2005\u0645 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u064631% \u0625\u0644\u0649 7.8% \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 3.5% \u0625\u0644\u0649 6.5% \u0648\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 10.4% \u0625\u0644\u0649 11%(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2005). \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 \u0645\u0646 44.5% \u0625\u0644\u0649 38.6% \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 25.4% \u0625\u0644\u0649 27.8% \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u064a \u0645\u064630.1% \u0625\u0644\u0649 33.6% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 2004\u0645 \u06482005\u0645.\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646 10% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2006\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 10.5% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2007\u0645 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 12.5% \u0625\u0644\u0649 22.8%.\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 \u0628\u0634\u0642\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0646 38.6% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2006\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 35.3% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2007\u0645\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 27.5% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2006\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 30.6% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2007\u0645 \u060c \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 35.7% \u0625\u0644\u0649 34.1%(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2007).<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-3)<\/p>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1999-2007\u0645- \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a \u0628\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646<\/td>\n1999<\/td>\n2000<\/td>\n2001<\/td>\n2002<\/td>\n2003<\/td>\n2004<\/td>\n2005<\/td>\n2006<\/td>\n2007<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649<\/td>\n12.4<\/td>\n13.4<\/td>\n14.3<\/td>\n15.2<\/td>\n16.1<\/td>\n19.3<\/td>\n20.3<\/td>\n22.4<\/td>\n24.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648<\/td>\n6%<\/td>\n8.3%<\/td>\n6.4%<\/td>\n6.5%<\/td>\n6.1%<\/td>\n7.2%<\/td>\n5.6%<\/td>\n9.9%<\/td>\n10.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c 2018\u0645.<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\/\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 2008-2016\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0638\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0633\u062c\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2008\u0645 6.4% \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0637\u0641\u064a\u0641 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0637\u0641\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0632\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062f\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a. \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 5.9% \u0628\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2009\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 5.2% \u0628\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2010\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0645\u0639 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a. \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0646 30.8% \u0628\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 2009\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 31.3%(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2010). \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 23.2% \u0625\u0644\u0649 21.1% \u0648\u0627\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 45.1% \u0625\u0644\u0649 47.6% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645\u064a 2009\u0645 \u06482010\u0645.\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0646 1.9% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2011\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 1.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0635\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u062e\u0631\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062d\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 4.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2013\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 12.2% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 10.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 3013\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0625\u0644\u0649 2.7% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2014\u0645 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0645\u0646 4% \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 4.1%\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 4.9% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2015\u0645 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0632\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2015).<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-4)<\/p>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 (2008-2016\u0645)- \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a \u0628\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646<\/td>\n2008<\/td>\n2009<\/td>\n2010<\/td>\n2011<\/td>\n2012<\/td>\n2013<\/td>\n2014<\/td>\n2015<\/td>\n2016<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649<\/td>\n26.4<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n29.4<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n27.1<\/td>\n28.3<\/td>\n29.3<\/td>\n30.5<\/td>\n34.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648<\/td>\n6.4%<\/td>\n5.9%<\/td>\n5.2%<\/td>\n1.9<\/td>\n1.4%<\/td>\n4.4%<\/td>\n2.4%<\/td>\n4.3%<\/td>\n4.9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649 \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c 2018\u0645.<\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-4) \u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0646 1.9% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2011\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 1.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u0641\u0635\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u062e\u0631\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062d\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 4.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2013\u0645 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 12.2% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2012\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 10.4% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 3013\u0645 \u0648\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0625\u0644\u0649 2.7% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2014\u0645 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0628\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 4% \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 4.1%\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 4.9% \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2015\u0645 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0632\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u0625\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a(\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649\u060c2015).<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2-4) <\/strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 (2017-2021\u0645)- \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a \u0628\u0645\u0644\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646<\/td>\n2017<\/td>\n2018<\/td>\n2019<\/td>\n2020<\/td>\n2021<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648<\/td>\n35.68<\/strong><\/td>\n36.68<\/strong><\/td>\n36.20<\/strong><\/td>\n35.63<\/strong><\/td>\n34.96<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0649 \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c 2021\u0645.<\/p>\n

                            3\\ \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0647\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            -\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0641 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u062a\u0645\u062a \u0635\u064a\u0627\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990 \u2013 2021\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0641 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n

                            – \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a (RGDP):<\/strong> \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0648\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0642\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062c\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u064a.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 (Inf) \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 .<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a (VAR) Vector Autoregressive\u0643\u0625\u062d\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 (1998) Sims & Zha \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0623\u062b\u0631\u062a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629. \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u062c\u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629.<\/p>\n

                            -\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629\u060c \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u062f\u064a\u0643\u064a \u2013 \u0641\u0648\u0644\u0644\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0633\u0639 Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0628\u0633 \u2013 \u0628\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0646 Philips \u2013 Perron (PP) \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0644\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644. \u0648\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u060c \u0623\u0646 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644. \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0626 (VAR) \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062e\u0636\u0639 \u0644\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0637 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0625\u0630 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u0647\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0623\u0648 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u062e\u0644\u064a\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 (ADF) \u0648(PP) \u0644\u0633\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            ADF Test<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c\u0629<\/td>\n\u0642\u064a\u0645 (t)\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0628\u0629<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            10%<\/td>\n5%<\/td>\n1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/td>\n-3.2292<\/td>\n-3.5875<\/td>\n-4.3393<\/td>\n-5.9199*<\/td>\nLRGDP<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644<\/td>\n-3.2184<\/td>\n-3.5684<\/td>\n-4.2967<\/td>\n-5.9014*<\/td>\nLINF<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            PP Test<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/td>\n-3.2217<\/td>\n-3.5742<\/td>\n-4.3098<\/td>\n-12.1435*<\/td>\nLRGDP<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644<\/td>\n-3.2184<\/td>\n-3.5684<\/td>\n-4.2967<\/td>\n-5.9014*<\/td>\nLINF<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 EVIEWS 10<\/p>\n

                            (*) (**) (***) \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0646\u062f 1%\u060c 5%\u060c 10% \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a<\/p>\n

                            – \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2) \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0627\u0647 \u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0647\u064a \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0623\u062f\u0646\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0646 (Akaike) \u0648(Schwarz). \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a VAR(1)<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c VAR<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u062f\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631<\/td>\nP = 1<\/td>\nP = 2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 AIC<\/td>\n-2.1887<\/td>\n-1.9997<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 SCH<\/td>\n-1.9084<\/td>\n-1.5325<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a EVIEWS 10<\/p>\n

                            -\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0646. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u062d \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u0627: \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062b\u0631 Trace Test \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0629 Max Eigen value Test<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3-4): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Johansen\u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645<\/td>\n\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647<\/td>\n\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062b\u0631<\/td>\n\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u0647<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f 5%<\/td>\n\u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u0647<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f 5%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0631\u0641\u0636<\/td>\n0.1816<\/td>\n10.6002<\/td>\n15.4947<\/td>\n6.0138<\/td>\n14.2646<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0631\u0641\u0636<\/td>\n0.1418<\/td>\n4.5864<\/td>\n3.8415<\/td>\n4.5864<\/td>\n3.8415<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a EVIEWS 10<\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3) \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Johansen \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0648\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649\u060c \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 5% \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0628\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.<\/p>\n

                            \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0637\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c VAR \u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u062b\u0646\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u060c \u0648\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0624 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 (P = 1) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a:<\/p>\n

                            L RGDP (t)<\/sub> = \u00d80<\/sub> + \u00d81<\/sub>LRGDP (t-1)<\/sub> +\u00d82<\/sub>LINF (t-1) <\/sub>+\u00b5t<\/sub><\/p>\n

                            i <\/sub>\u00d8 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062d\u064a\u062b i = 0, 1, 2 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u00b5t<\/sub> \u0647\u0648 \u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062c\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u0647 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0627 \u0628\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u064a \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0647 \u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a. \u0648\u0628\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 OLS \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a:<\/p>\n

                            LRGDP (t)<\/sub> = 0.195 + 0.965LRGDP (t-1)<\/sub> -0.014LINF (t-1) <\/sub><\/p>\n

                            n = 31 R2<\/sup> = 0.996 Fstatistic<\/sub> = 3549.116<\/p>\n

                            \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0642\u062f \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a (0.996)\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0645\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 99.6% \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645. \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 5%. \u0648\u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629. \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u062a\u0633\u0642 \u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n

                            7.5 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u062e\u064a\u0635<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0648\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644.<\/p>\n

                            1.7.5 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0646\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c. \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1) \u0623\u0646 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0628\u0651\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u061b \u062a\u0642\u0639 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629.<\/p>\n

                            \u0634\u0643\u0644 (1): \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a<\/p>\n

                            \n\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a EVIEWS 10<\/p>\n

                            \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3) \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 LM \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a 0.7535 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 5% \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u064a\u061b \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0646\u0635 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u064a. \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633.<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644 \u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 (H0<\/sub>)<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631<\/td>\nValue<\/td>\nP – Value<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u062a\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621<\/td>\nLM<\/td>\n0.4755<\/td>\n0.7535<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621 ( \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 )<\/td>\nChi-sq<\/td>\n11.6870<\/td>\n0.4755<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a EVIEWS 10<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a VAR \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0648\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644. \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n

                            -\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b 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\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0625\u0628\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629. \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062c\u064a\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u062c\u0626\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649. \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u060c \u062a\u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u063a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0642\u0648\u062a\u0647\u0627\u060c \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0642 \u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0625\u0646 \u0625\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u062a \u0623\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u062d\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0630\u0648 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062e\u0644\u0642 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0634\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0636\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0646\u0627\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u0644\u062f \u0636\u063a\u0637\u0627\u064b \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0622\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0646. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a.<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3-2): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            Response of LINF<\/strong><\/td>\nResponse of LRGDP<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            LINF<\/td>\nLRGDP<\/td>\nLINF<\/td>\nLRGDP<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.5762<\/td>\n-0.1607<\/td>\n0.0000<\/td>\n0.0322<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.5590<\/td>\n-0.1445<\/td>\n-0.0079<\/td>\n0.0333<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.5396<\/td>\n-0.1285<\/td>\n-0.0153<\/td>\n0.0341<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.5181<\/td>\n-0.1127<\/td>\n-0.0222<\/td>\n0.0347<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.4949<\/td>\n-0.0971<\/td>\n-0.0285<\/td>\n0.0350<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.4701<\/td>\n-0.0819<\/td>\n-0.0343<\/td>\n0.0351<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.4440<\/td>\n-0.0671<\/td>\n-0.0396<\/td>\n0.0350<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.4169<\/td>\n-0.0528<\/td>\n-0.0443<\/td>\n0.0347<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0645\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.3889<\/td>\n-0.0390<\/td>\n-0.0485<\/td>\n0.0342<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            0.3602<\/td>\n-0.0258<\/td>\n-0.0521<\/td>\n0.0335<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 Eviews 10<\/p>\n

                            -\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (5) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628 97.16% \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 2.84% \u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629. \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0638\u0644 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a 50.67% \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 49.33% \u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629.<\/p>\n

                            \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (5): \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
                            <\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a0Period<\/strong><\/td>\nS.E.<\/strong><\/td>\nLRGDP<\/strong><\/td>\nLINF<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            <\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            <\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a01<\/td>\n\u00a00.032215<\/td>\n\u00a0100.0000<\/td>\n\u00a00.000000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a02<\/td>\n\u00a00.046998<\/td>\n\u00a097.16088<\/td>\n\u00a02.839116<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a03<\/td>\n\u00a00.060058<\/td>\n\u00a091.75110<\/td>\n\u00a08.248896<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a04<\/td>\n\u00a00.072816<\/td>\n\u00a085.09222<\/td>\n\u00a014.90778<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a05<\/td>\n\u00a00.085686<\/td>\n\u00a078.13859<\/td>\n\u00a021.86141<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a06<\/td>\n\u00a00.098762<\/td>\n\u00a071.45411<\/td>\n\u00a028.54589<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a07<\/td>\n\u00a00.112012<\/td>\n\u00a065.31291<\/td>\n\u00a034.68709<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a08<\/td>\n\u00a00.125352<\/td>\n\u00a059.81057<\/td>\n\u00a040.18943<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a09<\/td>\n\u00a00.138682<\/td>\n\u00a054.94618<\/td>\n\u00a045.05382<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            \u00a010<\/td>\n\u00a00.151900<\/td>\n\u00a050.67335<\/td>\n\u00a049.32665<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            <\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
                            <\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a Eviews 10<\/p>\n

                            -\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0643\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629. \u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0642\u0629. \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0648\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627.<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a <\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a :<\/p>\n

                            – \u062a\u0641\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a.<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u062a\u0634\u062c\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u062a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            \u0647\u062f\u0641\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 1990-2021 . \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0626\u064a (VAR) \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629, \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 (INF) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a (RGDP) \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639. \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0639\u0643\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.\u0648\u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0648\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627.\u0648\u0623\u0648\u0635\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u0641\u0639\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a ,\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0629\u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a.<\/p>\n

                            \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639<\/strong><\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u062f \u060c \u0627\u0645\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0643\u064a \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u060c \u0637\u0627\u0631\u0642 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f 2015\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 1990 \u2013 2012\u0645 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f (16) \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u062c \u060c \u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0628\u0646 \u0631\u063a\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0646 \u062d\u0633\u0646 (2005): \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u064a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a: \u0627\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n

                            -\u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0633\u064a, \u0646\u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646( 2001) , \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0626 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a ,\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629\u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 , \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 , \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u063541.<\/p>\n

                            -\u0623\u062d\u0645\u062f, \u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062d\u0645\u0646 \u064a\u0633\u0631\u064a( 1973): \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629, \u0635149.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0648\u0641 ,\u0647\u0648\u0634\u064a\u0627\u0631 ( 2005 ) \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a , \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0635\u0641\u0627\u0621 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 ,\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646 , \u063573<\/p>\n

                            – \u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647, \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647( 1997): \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b , \u0637, 3,\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0623\u0643\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0627\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636 , \u06357.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0639\u0637\u064a\u0629,\u0647\u062c\u0648 \u0639\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0631(2018): \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646(1996-2015)- \u0628\u062d\u062b \u062a\u0643\u0645\u064a\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0627\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f, \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0631\u0641 \u0648\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n

                            – \u0639\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0629, \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0632\u064a(2000): \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 , \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0643\u0646\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0629 , \u062c\u0645\u0647\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 , \u063572,\u063574.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0633\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0627\u0646 ,\u0633\u0644\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u064a \u0648 \u0633\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u062a\u062d \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0642\u0646\u062f\u064a\u0644 (1977) , \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f ,\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0635198.<\/p>\n

                            – \u0632\u0647\u0631\u0627\u0646 ,\u062d\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0629 ( 1995)\u0645: \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629, \u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0634\u0645\u0633 , \u0635161.<\/p>\n

                            – \u062d\u0628\u064a\u0628, \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0632\u0645 1997, , \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631, \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 , \u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0633 \u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646 , \u063517,\u063518.<\/p>\n

                            – \u062a\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0648, \u0645\u0634\u064a\u0644 (2006): \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629, \u062a\u0631\u062c\u0645\u0629: \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0633\u0646\u064a \u0648 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0632\u0642, \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631, \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636 \u0635175<\/p>\n

                            – \u062f\u0631\u0648\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631\u064a \u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 (1985): \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a ,\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 : \u0645\u0643\u062a\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 , \u063563.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                            \u062f. \u0625\u0628\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u06431 1 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0631\u0641\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646. \u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: ibtisameljack@gmail.com HNSJ, 2023, 4(11); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj41110 \u062a\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0641 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631: 01\/11\/2023\u0645 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644: […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-8249","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8249","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8249"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8249\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8278,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8249\/revisions\/8278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}