{"id":4480,"date":"2022-09-03T13:36:09","date_gmt":"2022-09-03T13:36:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/?page_id=4480"},"modified":"2022-09-03T13:36:13","modified_gmt":"2022-09-03T13:36:13","slug":"3-9-34","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/3-9-34\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642"},"content":{"rendered":"

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1<\/sup> \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0635\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642.<\/p>\n

\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: 07902660204a@gmail.com<\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2022, 3(9); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj3934<\/p>\n

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\n<\/a><\/p>\n

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<\/a>Research title <\/strong><\/p>\n

The effect of government investment spending on the oil output in Iraq for the period 2009-2020<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dr.Afeifa B.Showket1<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n

1<\/sup> Assistant Professor, Al-Mustansiriya University, College of Administration and Economics, Department of Economics, Iraq.<\/p>\n

Email: 07902660204a@gmail.com<\/p>\n

HNSJ, 2022, 3(9); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj3934<\/p>\n

Published at 01\/09\/2022 Accepted at 24\/08\/2021 <\/strong><\/p>\n

Abstract <\/strong><\/p>\n

Government spending is a representation of the extent of the state’s influence in economic life, and it is a true expression of the size of the government sector, as the current study aims to raise the level of government investment spending to increase its impact and ability to stimulate development and growth of the non-oil GDP in Iraq. Therefore, it has become important for us to know the reasons for the development of government investment spending to increase its apparent and actual levels in the national economy. The study was conducted to answer the questions that represent the core of the study problem: Did government investment spending in the past years contribute to the development of output? And to what extent led to the development of this spending? The theoretical framework of the research dealt with concepts in government investment spending and non-oil output, as well as its most important components, reasons for its increase and its types. This study attempted to measure the impact of government investment spending on non-oil output for the period 2009-2020, as the least squares model was used by applying the Eviews10 program.<\/p>\n

Key Words: <\/strong>government investment spending, non-oil output, gross domestic product<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629: <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a : \u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u062a\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0634\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062d\u0635\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0645\u0627 :<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627: \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631: <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627:\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 :<\/strong> \u0646\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0635\u0635 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0633\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0627\u0634\u0627\u0628\u0647 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0639\u064a\u062f , \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0647\u0636\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0637\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0632\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a (Inacio &Silva,2010,4-5)<\/p>\n

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\u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b \u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u0644\u062e\u0635 \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0623\u062a\u064a :-<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627 : \u062a\u0643\u0648\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a <\/strong>:<\/p>\n

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\u0623-\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0635\u0628 \u0644\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0641\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/p>\n

\u0628-\u0627\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b \u0631\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u0636\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0648 \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0643\u0644 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0641\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0627\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0633\u0627 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/p>\n

2-\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643<\/p>\n

\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062a\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627 \u0634\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 , \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0631\u0627 \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0644\u0642 \u0641\u0631\u0635 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 .\u064a\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062d\u0641\u0632 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0641\u064a\u0632\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0647\u0643\u0630\u0627 (\u0627\u064a\u062f\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0646 ,1999, 117)<\/p>\n

3-\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0628\u0631\u0632 \u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 , \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u062d\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0641\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u063a\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0647\u0627 (Laopodis , 2001,157)<\/p>\n

4-\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631<\/p>\n

\u0630\u0643\u0631\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0647 \u0627\u062b\u0631\u0627 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 , \u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0648 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0642\u0635 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 , \u0627\u0636\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u062f \u0628\u062a\u062e\u0641\u064a\u0636 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 , \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0648 \u0628\u0643\u0644\u0641 \u0631\u0645\u0632\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u2013 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0639\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0627\u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u2013 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f.(\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0628, 2010, 131-132)<\/p>\n

\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 :\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0636\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0631 \u0630\u0643\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627 \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0635 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a :<\/p>\n

1-\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641 Multiplier Effect<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0635\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a , \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a \u0627\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u0641\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0635\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b\u0647\u0627 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a.(\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0628,2010, 15)<\/p>\n

2-\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062c\u0644 Accelerator Effect<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0646\u0627 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 , \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a \u0633\u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u064a\u062e\u0644\u0642 \u0637\u0644\u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062e\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062e\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0628\u0641\u0639\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062c\u0644.(\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062f\u064a, 2014, 140)<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633: \u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0647 \u0648\u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0646\u0648\u0639\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0647\u0645\u0627:<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627:\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0643\u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0633\u0648\u0645 , \u0627\u0648 \u062a\u0644\u062c\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0648 \u062a\u0644\u062c\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 , \u0648\u0646\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0647 \u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a.(\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0628 , 131-132)<\/p>\n

\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627:\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0646\u0628\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0648\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0644\u062c\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u062c\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0639\u0646 \u062a\u063a\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 ,\u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0633\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631\u0627 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a.(\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0628 \u0648 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 , 2007 , 259-260)<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a : \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644: \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0636\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0639\u0643\u0633\u062a \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0627 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0635\u0635\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a , \u0641\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0648\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0642\u062f \u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627 \u0645\u0646 13.1 \u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0629 2009 \u0627\u0644\u0649 19.5 \u0633\u0646\u0629 2010 \u062b\u0645 \u0639\u0627\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0649 17.8 \u0641\u064a 2011 \u062b\u0645 \u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646 2012 \u06482013 \u0628\u0644\u063a 20.7 \u064840.4 \u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0643\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u062e\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0642\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0646\u062c\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1) \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/p>\n

\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1) \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 (2009-2020 )<\/p>\n

(\u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a (1)<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a (2)<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a2\/1 % *<\/td>\n\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a % *<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>\n65.7<\/td>\n13.1<\/td>\n20.0<\/td>\n–<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>\n83.8<\/td>\n19.5<\/td>\n23.3<\/td>\n48.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>\n78.7<\/td>\n17.8<\/td>\n22.6<\/td>\n(8.7)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>\n90.3<\/td>\n20.7<\/td>\n22.9<\/td>\n16.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>\n119.1<\/td>\n40.4<\/td>\n33.9<\/td>\n95.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>\n83.5<\/td>\n24.9<\/td>\n29.8<\/td>\n(38.4)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>\n70.4<\/td>\n18.6<\/td>\n26.4<\/td>\n(25.3)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>\n67.1<\/td>\n15.9<\/td>\n23.7<\/td>\n(14.5)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>\n75.5<\/td>\n16.5<\/td>\n21.9<\/td>\n3.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>\n80.9<\/td>\n19.2<\/td>\n23.7<\/td>\n16.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>\n111.7<\/td>\n22.8<\/td>\n20.4<\/td>\n18.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/td>\n76.1<\/td>\n24.7<\/td>\n32.5<\/td>\n8.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631:\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a http:\/\/www.cbiraq.org<\/a><\/p>\n

*\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629<\/p>\n

( ) \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1) \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 2009-2020<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1)<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a :\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u0627\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0627\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u062f\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 ,\u0641\u0642\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0647 69.8% \u0633\u0646\u0629 2020 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062b\u0644\u062b\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c .<\/p>\n

\u0645\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645 , \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a ( \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645\u0647\u0627 ) \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a , \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0643\u0633\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627,\u0641\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0636\u0639 \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0631\u0633\u0645 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0648\u0636 \u0628\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0635\u0641 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0629 .\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0642\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0635\u064a\u0627\u063a\u0629 \u062e\u0637\u0637\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0646\u062a\u062c \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a (\u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f , 9) \u0644\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0639\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a<\/p>\n

\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2)\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 2009-2020 (\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629(<\/p>\n

\u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a *<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a %<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a<\/strong><\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a %<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/strong><\/td>\n130.6<\/strong><\/td>\n56.0<\/strong><\/td>\n42.9<\/strong><\/td>\n74.6<\/strong><\/td>\n57.1<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/strong><\/td>\n162.1<\/strong><\/td>\n72.9<\/strong><\/td>\n45.0<\/strong><\/td>\n89.2<\/strong><\/td>\n55.0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/strong><\/td>\n217.3<\/strong><\/td>\n115.3<\/strong><\/td>\n53.1<\/strong><\/td>\n102.0<\/strong><\/td>\n46.9<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/strong><\/td>\n254.2<\/strong><\/td>\n126.4<\/strong><\/td>\n49.7<\/strong><\/td>\n127.8<\/strong><\/td>\n50.3<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/strong><\/td>\n273.6<\/strong><\/td>\n125.6<\/strong><\/td>\n46.0<\/strong><\/td>\n148.0<\/strong><\/td>\n54.0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/strong><\/td>\n266.3<\/strong><\/td>\n116.9<\/strong><\/td>\n43.9<\/strong><\/td>\n149.4<\/strong><\/td>\n56.1<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/strong><\/td>\n199.7<\/strong><\/td>\n65.2<\/strong><\/td>\n32.7<\/strong><\/td>\n134.5<\/strong><\/td>\n67.3<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/strong><\/td>\n196.9<\/strong><\/td>\n67.4<\/strong><\/td>\n34.2<\/strong><\/td>\n129.5<\/strong><\/td>\n65.8<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/strong><\/td>\n221.7<\/strong><\/td>\n88.7<\/strong><\/td>\n40.0<\/strong><\/td>\n133.0<\/strong><\/td>\n60.0<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/strong><\/td>\n268.9<\/strong><\/td>\n120.2<\/strong><\/td>\n44.7<\/strong><\/td>\n148.7<\/strong><\/td>\n55.3<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/strong><\/td>\n281.5<\/strong><\/td>\n114.4<\/strong><\/td>\n40.6<\/strong><\/td>\n167.1<\/strong><\/td>\n59.4<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/strong><\/td>\n201.3<\/strong><\/td>\n60.8<\/strong><\/td>\n30.2<\/strong><\/td>\n140.5<\/strong><\/td>\n69.8<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 :- \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u060c\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u060c 2017\u060c\u0635 510<\/strong><\/p>\n

*\u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b : \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0628\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0648\u0644\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0643\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u0639\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0635\u0629 \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0635\u0627\u0646\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u0641\u064a\u0632 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0641\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0632\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0632\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u0633\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0627\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3) \u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0648 \u062e\u062c\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u062a\u0644\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0645\u0648\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0644 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0647\u0634 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (2) \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0648 \u0636\u0622\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a .<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3 ) \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/td>\n\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>\n130.6<\/td>\n13.1<\/td>\n10.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>\n162.1<\/td>\n19.5<\/td>\n12.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>\n217.3<\/td>\n17.8<\/td>\n8.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>\n254.2<\/td>\n20.7<\/td>\n8.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>\n273.6<\/td>\n40.4<\/td>\n14.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>\n266.3<\/td>\n24.9<\/td>\n9.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>\n199.7<\/td>\n18.6<\/td>\n9.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>\n196.9<\/td>\n15.9<\/td>\n8.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>\n221.7<\/td>\n16.5<\/td>\n7.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>\n268.9<\/td>\n19.2<\/td>\n7.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>\n281.5<\/td>\n22.8<\/td>\n8.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/td>\n201.3<\/td>\n24.7<\/td>\n12.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 :- \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u060c\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629<\/strong> 2017<\/p>\n

-\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629,\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (2)\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3)<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a\u0629, \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u062a\u062f\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627” \u0637\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0630\u0643\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647 , \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0646\u0629 2017 \u0627\u0644\u0649 (1.80%) \u0648(0.8%) \u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4)<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) \u0646\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0629 (2009-2020 )<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0629<\/td>\n\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0629<\/td>\n\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2009<\/td>\n3.93<\/td>\n2.12<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2010<\/td>\n4.20<\/td>\n2.11<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2011<\/td>\n4.53<\/td>\n2.01<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2012<\/td>\n3.70<\/td>\n1.80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2013<\/td>\n4.26<\/td>\n1.52<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2014<\/td>\n4.17<\/td>\n1.18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2015<\/td>\n2.53<\/td>\n0.95<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2016<\/td>\n2.31<\/td>\n0.83<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2017<\/td>\n1.80<\/td>\n0.93<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2018<\/td>\n1.97<\/td>\n0.96<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2019<\/td>\n1.98<\/td>\n0.80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2020<\/td>\n4.29<\/td>\n1.23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 :- \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u060c\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629<\/strong> 2017<\/p>\n

-\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629,\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a <\/strong><\/p>\n

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\"eveiw19.png\"<\/p>\n

X \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/p>\n

Y \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c Eviews 10<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639 :\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a \u062d\u0633\u0628 Akaik)) ( AIC)<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 ( 7) \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0648 3<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 ( 7) \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a<\/p>\n

\"eview36.png\"<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a Eviws 10<\/p>\n

(*) \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 (Akaike) (AIC)<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633 : \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0646- \u062c\u064a\u0633\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0633 Johansen Cointegration Test<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0646 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 (H0) \u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b , \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0629 (1H) \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649 \u0641\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (8 ) \u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a. \u0627\u0630 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 Prob \u0628\u0644\u063a\u062a 0.0001 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 0.05 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 5% \u0645\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0630\u0643\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0646 ,\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0638\u0645\u0649 \u062c\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0639\u0632\u0632\u0627 \u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u064a\u0636\u0627 0.0001 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0639\u0648 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u064a\u0636\u0627<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (8) \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0646 \u2013\u062c\u064a\u0633\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0633 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u062a\u0631\u0643 \u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a<\/p>\n

\"eview38.png\"<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c Eviews 10<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062f\u0633: \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631VECM<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (9) \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a 26.2 , \u0627\u064a \u0627\u0646 26.2% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0628\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u062b\u0631\u0647 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0636\u062d\u0646\u0627 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0627, \u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a \u0642\u062f \u0646\u062a\u062c\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0635\u064a\u0635\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 ,\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 t \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a 3.7145 \u06481.8836 \u0627\u064a \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 t \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 (1.812) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c , \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 F \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a (3.548) \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 F \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 (3.326 ) \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644\u064a\u062a\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0646\u0633\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062f\u0631\u0628\u0646- \u0648\u0627\u062a\u0633\u0648\u0646 D-W \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a 0.5417 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644\u0629 .<\/p>\n

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Y = 86.7608319333 + 1.98100360803*X<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (9) \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631VECM<\/p>\n

\"eview16.png\"<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c Eviews 10<\/p>\n

\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0640\u0627\u062a\u0645\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627 : \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
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    \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 : \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/p>\n

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    2-\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u062a\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n

    3-\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0639\u0627\u0634 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0631\u0627\u0641\u062f\u0627 \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645<\/p>\n

    \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639:-<\/strong><\/p>\n

    1-\u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f , \u0645\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 , \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c , \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0635\u0631\u0629 (pdf),,https:\/\/www.iasj<\/p>\n

    2-\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0628 ,\u062e\u0627\u0644\u062f \u0634\u062d\u0627\u0630\u0629 \u0648 \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0632\u0647\u064a\u0631 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 ,\u0627\u0633\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 , \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646 , \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0645\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 , 2007<\/p>\n

    3-\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u064a,\u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0645\u0631, \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0645 2003, \u062f\u0627\u0631\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645, \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f ,2009<\/p>\n

    4-\u0627\u0644 \u0634\u0628\u064a\u0628 , \u062f\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 , \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a , \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646 , \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0632\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 , 2009<\/p>\n

    5-\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0647\u0631, \u0639\u0644\u064a \u062f\u0627\u0628\u0647 , \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0628\u064a ,\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u062f 17, \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f 1 , \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0633 , 2012<\/p>\n

    6<\/strong>-\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0631, \u064a\u062d\u064a\u0649 \u063a\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636 \u062c\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0643\u0627\u0638\u0645 , \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0648\u0636 \u0628\u0647\u0627 ( \u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629) , \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 , \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0645\u0633\u0648\u0646 , \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 , 2017<\/p>\n

    7-\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062f\u064a, \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 , \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0627\u0641 \u0648 \u0648\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a , \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a , \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 , 2014.<\/p>\n

    8-\u0627\u064a\u062f\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0646,\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0643\u0644 ,\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 ,\u062a\u0631\u062c\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u0635\u0648\u0631 , \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636 , \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0648\u062f\u064a\u0629 , \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 , 1999 .<\/p>\n

    9-\u062f\u0627\u0648\u062f, \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u064a , \u0645\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0649\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a , \u0639\u0645\u0627\u0646, \u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631 , 2013<\/p>\n

    10-\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u0645\u062d\u0645\u062f , \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u064a\u062f, \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0641\u062f\u064a\u0646 , \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f 8 , \u062d\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646<\/p>\n

    11-\u0632\u064a\u0646\u064a,\u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 ,\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 , \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u063a\u062f\u0627\u062f , 2002.<\/p>\n

    12-\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0628,\u0648\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0628\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u064a\u062f , \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a , \u0628\u064a\u0631\u0648\u062a , 2010 .<\/p>\n

    13-\u0643\u0627\u0638\u0645,<\/strong>\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0648\u064a \u0648 \u0634\u0627\u0643\u0631 ,\u0627\u0633\u0639\u062f \u0631\u062d\u064a\u0645 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642 (1980-2013)\u060c \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f40\u060c\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u062f 13\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u060c 2016<\/p>\n

    14-\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a http:\/\/www.cbiraq.org<\/a><\/p>\n

    15-\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629,\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n

    16-\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u060c\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u060c 2017<\/p>\n

    17-OECD,Government investment spending , OECD Publishing , Paris.2015<\/p>\n

    18-L.A. Inacio & L.D. Silva , The role of public investment in social and economic development , United Nations , New York ,2010, pp 4-5<\/p>\n

    19-N.T.Laopodis , Effects of government spending on private investment .Applied Economics , 2001 , p157<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u062f. \u0639\u0641\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u062c\u0627\u064a \u0634\u0648\u0643\u062a1 1 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0627\u0630 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0635\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0642\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642. \u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: 07902660204a@gmail.com HNSJ, 2022, 3(9); https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj3934 \u062a\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0641 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631: 01\/09\/2022\u0645 \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644: 24\/08\/2022\u0645 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-4480","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4480","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4480"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4480\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4504,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4480\/revisions\/4504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4480"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}