{"id":13620,"date":"2025-05-31T14:28:23","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T14:28:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/?page_id=13620"},"modified":"2025-05-31T14:28:26","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T14:28:26","slug":"6-6-8","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/6-6-8\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"journal-article\" style=\"margin-bottom: 20px;\"><h3 style='text-align: right; font-family:Simplified Arabic;'>\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 -  \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 (2021- 2024)<\/h3><p style='text-align:right; font-weight:bold; direction:rtl;'>\u0623. \u062f. \u0625\u064a\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0625\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0639\u0628\u062f\u0647\u0640<sup>1<\/sup>\u060c \u0647\u064a\u062b\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0645 \u0645\u0628\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0639\u0628\u0640\u0640\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0628 \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f<sup>2<\/sup><\/p><div style='direction:rtl; text-align:right; font-size:12px; line-height:1.5;'><p><sup>1<\/sup> \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u060c \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p><p><sup>2<\/sup> \u0648\u0632\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p><p>\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a: m.hitham78@yahoo.com<\/p><\/div><h4 style='text-align:left; direction:ltr; unicode-bidi:embed; font-family:Times New Roman;'>Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024<\/h4><p style='text-align:left; font-weight:bold; direction:ltr; margin-top:12px;'>Prof. Iman Mahmoud Ibrahim Abduh<sup>1<\/sup>, Haitham Mubarak Abdulmuttalib Ahmed<sup>2<\/sup><\/p><div style='direction:ltr; text-align:left; font-size:12px; line-height:1.7; margin-bottom:10px;'><p style='margin:0 0 8px 0;'><sup>1<\/sup> Faculty of Economics, Nile Valley University, Sudan;<\/p><p style='margin:0 0 8px 0;'><sup>2<\/sup> Ministry of Health, River Nile State, Sudan.<br><span style=\"font-size:12px;\">Email:<\/span> m.hitham78@yahoo.com<\/p><\/div><p style='text-align:left;'><strong>DOI:<\/strong> <a href='https:\/\/doi.org\/https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj66\/8' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>https:\/\/doi.org\/10.53796\/hnsj66\/8<\/a><\/p><p style='text-align: right;'><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b:<\/strong> <a href='https:\/\/arsri.org\/10000\/66\/8' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>https:\/\/arsri.org\/10000\/66\/8<\/a><\/p><p style='text-align: right;'><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0644\u062f (6) \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f (6). \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u062d\u0627\u062a:<\/strong> 90 - 123<\/p><p style='text-align: right;'><strong>\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0627\u0644:<\/strong> 2025-05-07 | <strong>\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644:<\/strong> 2025-05-15 | <strong>\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0631:<\/strong> 2025-06-01<\/p><p><a href='\/volume6\/issue6\/6-6-8.pdf' target='_blank' rel='noopener' style='background-color:green;color:white;padding:10px 15px;text-decoration:none;border-radius:5px;'>Download PDF<\/a><\/p>\r\n<style>\r\n.hnsj-cite-btn{\r\n  display:inline-flex; 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M. I., Ahmed H. M. A.. (2025). Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024. Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal, 6(6). https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Chicago&quot;:&quot;Abduh, Iman Mahmoud Ibrahim; Ahmed, Haitham Mubarak Abdulmuttalib. 2025. \\&quot;Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024.\\&quot; Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal 6, no. 6. https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Harvard&quot;:&quot;Abduh I. M. I., Ahmed H. M. A.. 2025. Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024. Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal. [Internet] 2025-06-01. [Cited 2026-04-24]. 6(6). Available at: https:\\\/\\\/www.hnjournal.net\\\/ar\\\/6-6-8\\\/. https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Vancouver&quot;:&quot;Abduh I. M. I., Ahmed H. M. A.. Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024. Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal. [Internet]. 2025-06-01; 6(6). Available from: https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;IEEE&quot;:&quot;Abduh I. M. I., Ahmed H. M. A., \\&quot;Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024,\\&quot; Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal, vol. 6, no. 6, 2025. https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;MLA&quot;:&quot;Abduh, Iman Mahmoud Ibrahim; Ahmed, Haitham Mubarak Abdulmuttalib. \\&quot;Applying the logistic regression model to study the factors (demographic, biological, economic, social, and health) affecting under-five mortality - a case study of River Nile State 2021-2024.\\&quot; Humanities &amp; Natural Sciences Journal, vol. 6, no. 6, 2025-06-01, https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;}' data-cit-ar='{&quot;APA&quot;:&quot;\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0647 \u0625. \u0645. \u0625\u060c \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0647\u0640. \u0645. \u0639. (2025). \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 -  \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 (2021- 2024). \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c 6(6). https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Chicago&quot;:&quot;\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0647 \u0625\u064a\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0625\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645\u060c \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0647\u064a\u062b\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0645 \u0645\u0628\u0640\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0639\u0628\u0640\u0640\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0640\u0640\u0628. 2025. \u00ab\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 -  \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 (2021- 2024)\u00bb. \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c 6(6). https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Harvard&quot;:&quot;\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0647 \u0625. \u0645. \u0625\u060c \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0647\u0640. \u0645. \u0639. \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 -  \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 (2021- 2024). \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629. [\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a] 2025-06-01. [\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 2026-04-24]. 6(6). \u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d \u0639\u0644\u0649: https:\\\/\\\/www.hnjournal.net\\\/ar\\\/6-6-8\\\/. https:\\\/\\\/doi.org\\\/10.53796\\\/hnsj66\\\/8&quot;,&quot;Vancouver&quot;:&quot;\u0639\u0628\u062f\u0647 \u0625. \u0645. \u0625\u060c \u0627\u062d\u0645\u062f \u0647\u0640. \u0645. \u0639. \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 -  \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 (2021- 2024). \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629. 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\u0644\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644.<\/p><p style='text-align:right;'><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u062a\u0627\u062d\u064a\u0629: <\/strong> \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p style='text-align:justify; direction:ltr;'><strong>Abstract: <\/strong> This study employs the Logistic Regression Model to examine the demographic, biological, economic, social, and health-related factors influencing under-five child mortality. A field survey was conducted using a structured questionnaire targeting a sample of 445 households with children under the age of five. The sample was selected through stratified sampling and distributed across various localities in the River Nile State. Data analysis was performed using SPSS version 25. The results revealed that the estimated Logistic Regression Model was statistically significant and demonstrated a good fit for the dataset. Several key factors were found to significantly influence child mortality rates, including: place of residence, birth spacing, maternal access to prenatal healthcare, birth weight, household poverty, parental consanguinity, source of drinking water, and the availability of adequate healthcare services. Additionally, environmental health conditions, improvements in child health status, government initiatives aimed at reducing child mortality, and the role of non-governmental organizations were identified as important contributing factors. The study recommends enhancing health awareness and education among mothers, particularly in rural areas, to promote healthy practices. It also underscores the importance of improving the quality of healthcare services in underserved regions and increasing public awareness on the importance of reporting child mortality cases to better understand their causes and inform effective interventions.<\/p><p style='direction:ltr; text-align:left;'><strong>Keywords: <\/strong> Under-five child mortality, Logistic Regression, Demographic factors, River Nile State, Maternal healthcare, Socioeconomic status, Environmental health.<\/p><\/div>\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 :- <\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u0627\u0626\u0646 \u062d\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u0645\u0646 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\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 Binary Response \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d\u064a\u0629 Explanatory Variables \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0648\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0627\u0630 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 P . \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u062e\u0637\u064a \u064a\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 Binary Data \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0647\u0645\u064a \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 ( \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629 ) \u0648\u062a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (1) \u0627\u0648 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 (\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0629) \u0648\u062a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (0) \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u064a\u0647\u062a\u0645 \u0628\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f (\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642) \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0628\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0623\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639) \u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0629) \u0639\u0646 \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0648\u064a\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0628 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0630\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0624\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 (Seber &amp; Wild,1989) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0630\u0643\u0631 (Lea ,1997) \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 (1,0) \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0647\u0648 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (1,0) \u060c \u0648\u0625\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0625\u0645\u0627 \u0635\u0641\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0648 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u060c \u0623\u064a P(y<sub>i<\/sub> \/ x<sub>i<\/sub>) = 1 \u0623\u0648 P(y<sub>i<\/sub> \/ x<sub>i<\/sub>) = 0 . \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0627\u0630 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u0631\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0636\u064a\u062d\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629) \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0646\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0645\u0627 ( \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u064a \u060c 1978( . \u0641\u0636\u0644\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a Logit Transformation \u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 (1-3) . \u0648\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 General Linear Models \u0648\u064a\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0623\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u064b \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a ( \u0639\u0643\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u060c 2002) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0644\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0630\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641\u064a \u0648\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0623\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062d\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0641\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0649 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 (\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0636\u0639\u064a \u060c 2005 Cramer ,2002 ; Walker , 1998; ) . \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0642\u0635\u062f \u0628\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0646\u0648\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a Binary Logistic Regression . \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 (Ononugbo , 2008) :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Logit(p<sub>i<\/sub>) = ln= B<sub>0<\/sub> + B<sub>1<\/sub>X<sub>1 <\/sub>+ B<sub>2<\/sub>X<sub>2<\/sub> + \u2026. + B<sub>k<\/sub>X<sub>k<\/sub> 1.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">: \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0647\u0649 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Logit(p<sub>i<\/sub>) : \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062b\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u0646 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">B<sub>0<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0637\u0648\u0639 ( \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 ) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">B<sub>i<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u062d\u064a\u062b i= 1,2,\u2026\u2026..k .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>i<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b i = 1,2,\u2026\u2026\u2026k .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1.3) \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0648\u0647\u0649 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 (1.3) \u062a\u0645\u062b\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a (Pample , 2000)<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a (<\/strong>\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u060c 2002; ( Lea<strong> , <\/strong>1997<strong>:<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0648 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 .<\/li>\n<li>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0633\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 .<\/li>\n<li>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 .<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641 odds ratio \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u062d\u064a\u0632\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b \u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a :<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 .<\/li>\n<li>\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 .<\/li>\n<li>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a .<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0643\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u062e\u0630\u0647\u0627 \u0643\u0625\u0631\u0634\u0627\u062f ( \u0639\u0643\u0627\u0634\u0629 \u060c 2002) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0635\u0646\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0645\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b ( \u062c\u0648\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0627\u064b ) Intrinsically Linear Model (Draper &amp; Smith , 1981 ) . \u0648\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0625\u0632\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0644\u0647\u0627 Least Squares Estimation (LSE) \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u062a\u062d\u064a\u0632\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0648\u0632\u0639 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0635\u063a\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0636\u0644\u0644\u0629 (Rat &amp; David , 1983 ) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0627\u062a \u062c\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0644 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0641\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0633\u0646\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a:-<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0636\u0644\u0629 odds :<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d odds \u0647\u0648 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0634\u064a\u0621 \u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647 \u060c \u0648\u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f\u064a\u0646 . \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u0647 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 (2.2) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Odds = () = exp[B<sub>0<\/sub> + B<sub>1<\/sub>X<sub>1<\/sub> + \u2026\u2026.. + B<sub>k<\/sub>X<sub>k<\/sub>] 2.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">0&lt; odds&lt;\u221e<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Odds : \u0647\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0634\u064a\u0621 \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">P : \u0647\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u0648\u062b \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u064a\u0621 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">1-p : \u0647\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u064a\u0621 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>k<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">B<sub>k<\/sub> : \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0643\u0631\u0647\u0640 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d odds \u0642\u062f \u062d\u0644 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 p \u060c \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u064a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0623\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 p \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0623\u062e\u0630 \u0623\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d (Pample , 2000) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d (Logit) Log odds<\/strong> :<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0636\u0645 \u0648\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u0641\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a\u0647\u0627 . \u0625\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u060c \u0648\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 (King &amp; Zeng , 2001)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0625\u0646 log odds \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0649 logit \u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d odds \u060c \u062a\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0628 \u062e\u0637\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 (3.2) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Logit = log(odds) = log() = \u03b1 +B<sub>1<\/sub>X<sub>1<\/sub> + \u2026.. + B<sub>p<\/sub>X<sub>p <\/sub>3.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">-\u221e&lt;Logit&lt;\u221e<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u0641\u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0627\u062d \u0628\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Walker , 1998) \u060c \u0648\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u0643\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0648\u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a (Garson , 2006) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 Maximum Likelihood Estimation \u0647\u064a \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0637\u0648\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a logit \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u060c \u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0639\u0646 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639 \u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u062e\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0633\u0639\u0649 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0638\u064a\u0645 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 (LL) Log likelihood \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (Garson , 2006) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0645\u0639 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0637\u064a\u0627\u0646 \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 (Kleinbaum &amp; Klein , 2002) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0647\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u060c \u062b\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 (LL) \u0648\u0628\u0639\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0646\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0628 convergence \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 (Garson , 2006) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0641 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 Likelihood Function(L) . \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 (L) \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0647\u064a (Kleinbaum &amp; Klein , 2002) :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"599\" height=\"150\" class=\"wp-image-13640\" src=\"http:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-2.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-2.png 599w, https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-2-300x75.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-2-18x5.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 599px) 100vw, 599px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">L : \u0647\u064a \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u0638\u0645 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">P() : \u0647\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">: \u0647\u064a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">n : \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u060c : \u0647\u064a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">: \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0631\u0628 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0636\u0631\u0628 \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 5.3 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"834\" height=\"435\" class=\"wp-image-13641\" src=\"http:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-3.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-3.png 834w, https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-3-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-3-768x401.png 768w, https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/word-image-13620-3-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 834px) 100vw, 834px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0627\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0633\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0633\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u060c \u0648\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u0628\u0642 \u0644\u0647 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u0648\u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647 (Pample , 2000). \u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u0646\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a :<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0647\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0641\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0628\u0628\u0633\u0627\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 (Dallal , 2001) . \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062d\u064a\u062f \u0647\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0625\u0646 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d (Cizek &amp; Fitzgerald , 1999) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d :<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0647\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 . \u0648\u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u060c \u062a\u0624\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u064a\u0629 (e) exponent \u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u062a \u0623\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0643\u0648\u0633 \u0644\u0648\u063a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 (8.1.3) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (Pample , 2000) :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0646 : = ( ln(<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u0625\u0646 =<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Odds =<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0628\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d (OR) odds ratio : <\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d odds \u0648\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d (or) odds ratio \u060c \u0641\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u060c \u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d \u060c \u0623\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a (Pample , 2000) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0646 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d (OR) \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 x \u0628\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0624\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u063a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (Edward , 2003) :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">OR = e<sup>c*b <\/sup> 8.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Log(OR) = c*b 9.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">b : \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">C : \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 x .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d odds ratio \u0647\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong> \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0631\u0649 (Hosmer &amp; Lemshow , 2000) \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c . \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a King , 2002 ; Peng et al. ,2002 ; Menard , 2002) ):-<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627 : \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644 :-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0648\u0644 \u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642\u0647 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u060c \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062f\u0627\u0644 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0623\u0645 \u0644\u0627 (Hosmer &amp; Lemshow , 2000) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u060c \u0648\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 R<sup>2<\/sup> \u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 \u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u062c\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u060c \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 ROC .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 Residuals and Deviance <\/strong>:<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062b\u0644 (Garson , 2006) \u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0623\u062d\u062f \u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 goodness-of-fit \u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 . \u0648\u0644\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 (Menard , 2002 ) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a R<sup>2<\/sup> (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u060c 1978(:<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0636 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f R<sup>2<\/sup> \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u062a\u0631\u062d\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 Nagelkerke \u060cR<sup>2<\/sup> Cox &amp; snell \u0627\u0644\u0644\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 R<sup>2<\/sup> \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647\u0627 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">10.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">= 1- 11.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">12.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">L<sub>0<\/sub> : \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0641\u0642\u0637 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">L<sub>1<\/sub> : \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0636\u0645 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">n : \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 \u0644\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 Hosmer &amp; Lemeshow (\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0648\u0649 \u060c 1978) :<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0627 \u060c \u0625\u0630 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a \u0644\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 x<sup>2 <\/sup>\u0644\u062a\u0642\u064a\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :-<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> : \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0626 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>1<\/sub> : \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0626 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 x<sup>2<\/sup> \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 (significance) \u0623\u064a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 Classification Table<\/strong> :<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0647\u0648 \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u060c \u0628\u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626\u0629 (Soderstorm &amp; Leitner , 1997) .\u0648\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0641\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0639\u0637\u064a \u0628\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0646\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u060c \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0641\u0647\u0648 (Ferrer &amp; Wang , 1999) :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1-3) : \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u062c\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628<\/p>\n<p>P<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d<\/p>\n<p>TP<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626<\/p>\n<p>FN<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>P<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628<\/p>\n<p>N<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626<\/p>\n<p>FP<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d<\/p>\n<p>TN<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>P<sup>\\<\/sup><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Q<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Q<sup>\\<\/sup><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(Ferrer &amp; Wang , 1999)<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 ROC<\/strong> :<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0639\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0649 ROC \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0648\u062d \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0632 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633 \u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 (Bradley , 1997) . \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0642\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a 0.5 . \u0648\u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0632\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0632\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 \u0639\u0646 \u0642\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u0625\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u064a\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0648\u064a \u0632\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 ROC \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u064a\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a (Hosmer &amp; Lemshow , 2000) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0634\u0643\u0644 (2.3) \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u0649 ROC<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Hosmer &amp; Lemshow , 2000<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b : \u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0647\u0640 :-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0625\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 (Wald Statistic) \u060c \u0648\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 R<sup>2<\/sup> \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Partial R<sup>2<\/sup>) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 (Wald Statistic) :-<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 Wald test \u0628\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 X \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a \u0635\u0641\u0631\u0627\u064b Cizek &amp; Fitzgerald , 1999) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> : B=0<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 Wald \u0643\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">W<sup>2<\/sup> = 13.3<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">b : \u0647\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 X .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">S.E : \u0647\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 X .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 W<sup>2<\/sup> \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0643\u0627\u064a X<sup>2<\/sup> (Poston , 2004) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 W<sup>2<\/sup> \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 X \u0644\u0647 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 Y . \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 W<sup>2<\/sup> \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644 X \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 Y \u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0630\u0641\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647 \u0623\u064a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Menard , 2002) .<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 R<sup>2<\/sup> \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0629 (partial R<sup>2<\/sup> ) :<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 W<sup>2<\/sup> \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a (Garson , 2006) . \u0648\u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647\u0640 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 X<sup>2<\/sup> \u060c \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 X<sup>2<\/sup> \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a (Wolfe , 2002; Newsom , 2003;Poston , 2004)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a :<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0640\u0640\u0629 :<\/strong> \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0628 \u0644\u062c\u0623\u0646\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0631\u0635\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u062b\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 . \u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u0644\u063a \u0639\u062f\u062f\u0647\u0645(1,626,805) \u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0645\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645 (2020 \u0648\u062d\u062a\u0649 2024) .<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645 2020\u0645 \/ 2024\u0645<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2024<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2023<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2022<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2021<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>2020<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>15204<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14805<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14409<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12628<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12387<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u064a\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>25490<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24821<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24157<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21171<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20768<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0628\u0648\u062d\u0645\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>48447<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>47175<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45912<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40237<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39471<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0628\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>42790<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>41667<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40552<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>35539<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>34862<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0637\u0628\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>90342<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>87970<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>85615<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>75033<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>73604<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>85667<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>83418<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>81186<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>71150<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>69796<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0646\u062f\u0649<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>48291<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>47024<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45765<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40108<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39344<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0645\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 2024\u0645<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li><strong>\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0640\u0640\u0629:<\/strong> \u0628\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0631\u064a\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u062f \u062c\u064a\u062c\u0631 \u0644\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u062d :-<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0623\u0646:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">n: \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">N: \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 1.626.805<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">z: \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 0.95 \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a 1.96.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">e: \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0645\u0648\u062d \u0628\u0647 (0.05).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0633\u0648\u0641 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u061b \u0641\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 30% \u0644\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644 (115) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0647\u0627 (499) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0647\u0646\u0627\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a) \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0642\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a:-<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062d\u064a\u062b :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">n<sub>i <\/sub>= \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0629<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">N<sub>i <\/sub>= \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">N = \u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639 (\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">n = \u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628\u0629 (499)<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>69433<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u064a\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>116407<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0628\u0648\u062d\u0645\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>221242<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0628\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>195410<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0637\u0628\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>412564<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>391217<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0646\u062f\u0649<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>220532<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0645\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 : \u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b spss 25<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0631\u062f\u0629 (490) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f (45) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0632\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 (445) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629\u060c (\u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u064a\u0631\u0629 21 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629) \u060c (\u0627\u0628\u0648\u062d\u0645\u062f 35 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 ) \u060c (\u0628\u0631\u0628\u0631 62 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 ) \u060c(\u0639\u0637\u0628\u0631\u0629 60 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629) \u060c (\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0631 107 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629) \u060c (\u0634\u0646\u062f\u064a 100 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 ) \u060c (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0645\u0629 60 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0646\u0629 ) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a :-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u0621 \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0628\u062f\u0626\u064a (\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a) \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062f \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0648\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u063a\u0631\u0636 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0625\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u060c \u0641\u062a\u062d\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :-<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Block 0: Beginning Block<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (1) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p><strong> \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641Classification Table<sup>a,b<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>Predicted<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Percentage Correct<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>331<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>100.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>114<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Overall Percentage<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>74.4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0647\u0648 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u064a \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0641\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0631\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0634\u064a\u0648\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0647\u064a &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; 331 \u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062d\u0635\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062f\u0642\u0629 100% \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u0626\u0629 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0637\u0644\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u062d\u0635\u0644\u0646\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062f\u0642\u0629 0% \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0628\u0627\u0646 114 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0623 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221;. \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0647\u064a 74,4% \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0647\u064a\u0645\u0646\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (2) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 Variables in the Equation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>B<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>S.E.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Wald<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Exp(B)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step 0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Constant<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.066<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>96.343<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.344<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 Exp(B)=0.344 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0647\u0648 34% \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u062d\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (sig.=0.000&lt; 0.05) \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0630\u0648 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 : \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 <\/strong> \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (3) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<p><strong>Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>54.106<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Block<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>54.106<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Model<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>54.106<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (sig.=0.000&lt;0.05) \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0630\u0648 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0646\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 &#8220;\u0645\u064a\u062a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (4) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Model Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2 Log likelihood<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Cox &amp; Snell R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Nagelkerke R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>452.324<sup>a<\/sup><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.114<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.168<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 17% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 17% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0636\u0641\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test):<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (5) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631- \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.198<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.414<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (sig.=0.414&gt;0.05) \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) . H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (6) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"13\">\n<p><strong>Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"10\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>42.070<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.930<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>39.949<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>5.051<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>41.870<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>7.130<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>49<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>37.219<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>7.781<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>36.087<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>13<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>8.913<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>35<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>34.140<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>10.860<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>31.233<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>13.767<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>27<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>28.866<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>16.134<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>25<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>25.440<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>19.560<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>14<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>14.126<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>22<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>21.874<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u060c \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629. \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (7) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>Classification Table<sup>a<\/sup><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>Predicted<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Percentage Correct<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>317<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>95.8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>91<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>23<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Overall Percentage<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>76.4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 317 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 331 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (95,8%) \u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c 23 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 114 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (20,2%) . \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (4-49) \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 (76,4%) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (8) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"9\">\n<p><strong>Variables in the Equation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>B<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>S.E.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Wald<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>df<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Sig.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Exp(B)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u064a\u0631\u0629)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"32\">\n<p><strong>Step 1<sup>a<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9.170<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.164<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0634\u0646\u062f\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.723<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.695<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.083<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.298<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.061<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0645\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.730<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.717<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.037<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.308<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.075<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.734<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.694<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.120<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.290<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.083<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0639\u0637\u0628\u0631\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.087<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.736<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.014<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.906<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.917<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u0631\u0628\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.034<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.728<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.963<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.967<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0628\u0648\u062d\u0645\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.373<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.742<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.252<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.615<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.689<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0631\u064a\u0641)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u0636\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.708<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.310<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5.219<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.022<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.493<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 (35 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.334<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.343<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 18 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.595<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.998<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.998<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646 18 \u064824 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.566<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.469<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.457<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.227<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.568<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646 25 \u064834 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.045<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.095<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.911<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.340<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.352<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = 35 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062c\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4.625<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.201<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 18 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.537<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.604<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.790<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.374<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.585<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646 18 \u064824 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.177<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.440<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.163<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.687<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.837<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u064a\u0646 25 \u064834 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.982<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.886<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.089<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5.304<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u062c\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0627\u0646\u062b\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0630\u0643\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.360<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.245<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.158<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.142<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.434<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u062a\u0648\u0623\u0645)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0641\u0631\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.816<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.461<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.130<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.077<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.442<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11.310<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.004<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.942<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.289<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10.594<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.390<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.183<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.319<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.328<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.567<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.833<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.956<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.011<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.137<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.394<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.327<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.004<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.117<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.014<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.003<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.957<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.014<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Constant<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.021<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.872<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.981<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.979<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 (sig.&lt;0.05) \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 sig.=0.022 \u060c \u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u062f sig.=0.004 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a sig.=0.011 ) . \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d OR \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0648\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 EXP(B) \u0641\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u064a\u0639\u064a\u0634 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0636\u0631 \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u064a\u0642\u0644 \u0639\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u0639\u064a\u0634 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 50% . \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 40% \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 . \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u0629 \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627\u064b .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a : \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (9) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<p>Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16.664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.020<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Block<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16.664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.020<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Model<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16.664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.020<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (sig.=0.020&lt;0.05) \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0630\u0648 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0646\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 &#8220;\u0645\u064a\u062a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (10) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<p><strong>Model Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2 Log likelihood<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Cox &amp; Snell R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Nagelkerke R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>489.766<sup>a<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.037<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.054<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 5% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 5% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0636\u0641\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test):<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (11) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631- \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12.413<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.053<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (sig.=0.053&gt;0.05) \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) . H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (12) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p><strong>Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"8\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>93<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>89.189<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>19.811<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>42.115<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>13<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9.885<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>35.011<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.989<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>34.101<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10.899<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>52<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45.122<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>15.878<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>61<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>32.026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>13<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12.974<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>29.171<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14.829<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>26<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24.265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>19<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20.735<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u060c \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629. \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (13) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p><strong>Classification Tablea<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\" rowspan=\"3\">\n<p><strong>Observed<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Predicted<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p><strong>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Percentage Correct<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u062d\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p><strong>Step 1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u062d\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>327<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>98.8<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>109<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>5<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>4.4<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p><strong>Overall Percentage<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>74.6<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 327 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 331 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (98,8%) \u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c 5 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 114 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (4,4%) . \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (4-49) \u0627\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 (74,6%) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (14) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p><strong>Variables in the Equation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>B<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>S.E.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Wald<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>df<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Sig.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Exp(B)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"14\">\n<p>Step 1<sup>a<\/sup><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.196<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.452<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.188<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.822<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>\u062a\u0644\u0642\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.705<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.310<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5.179<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.023<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.494<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>\u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.658<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.325<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4.091<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.043<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.518<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a )<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.051<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.975<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.025<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.897<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.978<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.975<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.080<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.876<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.008<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.927<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.923<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0642\u064a\u0635\u0631\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.145<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.282<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.264<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.607<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.865<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u062c\u0647\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0648 \u0646\u0632\u0648\u0644 \u062c\u0646\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u064a\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0628\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.405<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.230<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.099<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.078<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.499<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Constant<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.280<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.983<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.081<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.776<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.323<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 (sig.&lt;0.05) \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a (\u062a\u0644\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 sig.=0.023 \u060c \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 sig.=0.043) . \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d OR \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0648\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 EXP(B) \u0641\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062a \u064a\u062a\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 50% \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 . \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0642\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 52% \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0648\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0645 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 . \u0648\u0644\u0627\u0628\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b : \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 :-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (15) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<p>Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>90.488<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Block<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>90.488<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Model<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>90.488<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (sig.=0.000&lt;0.05) \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0630\u0648 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0646\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 &#8220;\u0645\u064a\u062a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (16) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Model Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2 Log likelihood<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Cox &amp; Snell R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Nagelkerke R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>415.942a<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.184<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.271<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 27% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 27% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0636\u0641\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test):<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (17) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631- \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7.220<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.513<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (sig.=0.51&gt;0.05) \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) . H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (18) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p><strong>Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"10\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>43<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>43.659<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.341<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>41.663<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.337<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>58<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>55.194<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6.806<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>62<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>38.574<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6.426<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>38<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>36.169<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.831<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>33.444<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11.556<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>25.861<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>13.139<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>26.631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>17<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>18.369<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21.519<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>23.481<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8.287<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20.713<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>29<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u060c \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629 . \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (19) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p>Classification Tablea<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>Predicted<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Percentage Correct<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>310<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>93.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>76<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>38<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>33.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Overall Percentage<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>78.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640\u060c \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 310 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 331 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (93,7%) \u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c 38 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 114 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (33,3%). \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (4-49) \u0627\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 (78,2%).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (20) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"16\">\n<p><strong>Variables in the Equation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>B<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>S.E.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Wald<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>df<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Sig.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>Exp(B)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"16\">\n<p>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"48\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>8.730<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.068<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-1.226<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.008<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.479<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.224<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.293<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0628\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0626\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.630<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.941<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.449<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.503<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.532<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.104<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.912<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.013<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.910<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.460<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.831<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.306<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.580<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.632<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0645\u0647\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0645\u0648\u0638\u0641\u0629)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0631\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.575<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.426<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.819<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.177<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.563<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0628 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>12.850<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.062<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0645\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.742<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.078<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.610<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.106<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>5.708<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0628\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0626\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.360<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.951<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.046<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.153<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3.895<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u0648\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.841<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.921<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3.992<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.146<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>6.300<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.423<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.895<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.223<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.637<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.527<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.066<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.358<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.033<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.855<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.068<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u0649<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3.008<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.390<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.734<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.793<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.857<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.355<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.480<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.082<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.668<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.015<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.902<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.086<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u0637<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-19.701<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>10694.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.999<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u064a\u063a\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-1.716<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.819<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>4.395<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.036<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.180<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0644\u062c\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0644\u062a\u063a\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.441<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.492<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.804<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.370<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.643<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p><strong>\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>5.093<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.165<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.694<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.294<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.287<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.592<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0623\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0642<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.708<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.311<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.291<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.589<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.029<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062d\u0627\u064a\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.100<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.426<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.170<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.141<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>8.170<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0646 (\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.874<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.287<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>9.273<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.417<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0645\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0627\u064a\u062c\u0627\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0644\u0643<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.013<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.395<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.974<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.987<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0645\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u0644\u062d)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0632\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.914<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.822<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0628\u062f\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.010<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.651<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.988<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.990<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062c\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.287<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.552<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.270<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.603<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.332<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0637\u0648\u0628 \u0627\u062d\u0645\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.324<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.552<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.345<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.557<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.383<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0643\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0642 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0629 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.523<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.390<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.800<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.180<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.593<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.130<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.398<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.106<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.744<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.139<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"14\">\n<p>\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 ( \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0646\u0647\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>21.606<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0635\u0646\u0628\u0648\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.513<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.387<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.755<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.185<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.599<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0639\u0628\u0623<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.889<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.275<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.486<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.486<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>2.433<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0628\u0626\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.136<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.350<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>10.523<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>3.114<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Constant<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>-.648<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1.960<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.109<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.741<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>.523<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 (sig.&lt;0.05) \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a (\u0647\u0644 \u064a\u063a\u0637\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 sig.=0.036 \u060c \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0646 sig.=0.002 \u060c \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 sig.=0.000) . \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d OR \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0648\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 EXP(B) \u0641\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a \u064a\u063a\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 18% \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a \u064a\u063a\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 . \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0647\u0645 \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 42% \u060c \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647\u0647\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0626\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0636\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0628\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0627\u0636\u0639\u0627\u0641 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647\u0647\u0645 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062d\u062c\u064a\u0629 3.114.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0627\u064b: \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0639 : \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (21) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\">\n<p>Omnibus Tests of Model Coefficients<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>74.147<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Block<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>74.147<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Model<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>74.147<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u062c\u0648\u062f\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0638\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 (sig.=0.000&lt;0.05) \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0643\u0643\u0644 \u0630\u0648 \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0646\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 &#8220;\u0645\u064a\u062a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (22) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Model Summary<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-2 Log likelihood<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Cox &amp; Snell R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Nagelkerke R Square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><strong>1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>432.283<sup>a<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.153<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>.226<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 23% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u060c \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 23% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062c\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u064a \u060c \u0648\u062a\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0636\u0641\u0646\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629. H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631 \u2013 \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648 (Hosmer and Lemeshow Test):<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (23) \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0647\u0648\u0632\u0645\u0631- \u0644\u064a\u0645\u0634\u0648<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"4\">\n<p><strong>Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Step<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Chi-square<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>df<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Sig.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12.626<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.125<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u064a\u0641\u0633\u0631 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 (sig.=0.125&gt;0.05) \u0648\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0646\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0649 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0641\u0631\u0642 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">H<sub>0<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) . H<sub>1<\/sub> \u062a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645 (\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (24) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\">\n<p><strong>Contingency Table for Hosmer and Lemeshow Test<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"2\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 = \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Total<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>Expected<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"10\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>37<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>37.108<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.892<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>44<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>42.404<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3.596<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>36<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40.196<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4.804<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>42<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>39.285<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6.715<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>34<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>37.996<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>13<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9.004<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>47<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>40<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>34.407<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>10.593<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>31<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>32.110<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>12.890<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>8<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>27<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28.483<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>18<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>16.517<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>45<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>25<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>24.179<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21.821<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>46<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>10<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>15<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>14.832<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>26<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>26.168<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0627\u0648 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u060c \u0648\u0646\u062c\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0647\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0629. \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0628\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0641\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062c\u064a\u062f.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (25) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"6\">\n<p>Classification Tablea<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Observed<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\">\n<p>Predicted<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>Percentage Correct<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"3\">\n<p>Step 1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td rowspan=\"2\">\n<p>\u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u062d\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>310<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>21<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>93.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>82<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>32<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>28.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p>Overall Percentage<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>76.9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0641\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 310 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u062d\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 331 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (93,7%) \u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c 32 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 &#8220;\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a&#8221; \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0635\u0644 114 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629 (28,1%) . \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645 (4-49) \u0627\u062a\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u062f\u062e\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629 (76,9%) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 (26) \u064a\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"9\">\n<p><strong>Variables in the Equation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\">\n<p><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>B<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>S.E.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Wald<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>df<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Sig.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p><strong>Exp(B)<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"9\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0645\u0632\u0645\u0646(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 =\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td rowspan=\"34\">\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.107<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.398<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.072<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.788<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.113<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u064a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0631\u0636 \u0645\u0632\u0645\u0646(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.563<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.446<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.593<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.207<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.756<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.158<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.288<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.303<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.582<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.172<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0639\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>6.236<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.101<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.681<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.454<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.255<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.133<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.976<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.363<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.612<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.351<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.554<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.696<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0639\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u062e\u064a\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.090<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.886<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.347<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.789<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u064a\u062a\u0644\u0642\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0639\u064a\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u0632\u0645(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.200<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.354<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.320<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.571<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.819<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.902<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.289<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9.709<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.406<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0639\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u0630\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.584<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.426<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.883<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.170<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.558<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062b\u060c \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.292<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.424<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>9.299<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.002<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.275<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629 = \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0649 \u0628\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.612<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.265<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>5.322<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.021<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.844<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.593<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.279<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4.511<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.034<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.810<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0648 \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629= \u0644\u0627\u064a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u062f\u0648\u0631)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0648 \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>20.653<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.666<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.420<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>15.737<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.189<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-1.189<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.348<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>11.664<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.001<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.305<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.769<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.369<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>4.334<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.037<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.464<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0628\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0645\u0643\u0627\u0641\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.632<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.424<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>2.217<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.136<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.881<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u0644\u062f\u064a\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062a(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.477<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.444<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.155<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.282<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.611<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"8\">\n<p>\u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644(\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0639\u064a\u0629=\u0644\u0627)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>\u0646\u0639\u0645<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>-.075<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.271<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.076<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.783<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.928<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>Constant<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.596<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.688<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.749<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>.387<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p>1.814<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631: <\/strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0628\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c SPSS 2025<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0647\u0627 (sig.&lt;0.05) \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0648\u0647\u064a (\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 sig.=0.002 \u060c \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062b\u060c \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 sig.=0.002 \u060c \u0645\u0627\u0647\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 sig.= .021 \u060c \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 sig.= .034 \u060c \u0645\u0627\u0647\u0648 \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 sig.= .000) . \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062c\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0647 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d OR \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0648\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0648\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 EXP(B) \u0641\u0646\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0627\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 40% . \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u062a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062b\u060c \u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0633\u0646\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 28% \u060c \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0646 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0643\u0641\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d \u0639\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0648\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u060c \u0627\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u060c \u0627\u0648 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0644 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a\u0629 19% \u060c31% \u060c46% \u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u0647\u0627 \u062f\u0648\u0631 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0648\u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0633\u0628\u0642 \u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0637 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642\u0647 \u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Log odds = B<sub>0<\/sub> + B<sub>1<\/sub>X<sub>1 <\/sub>+ B<sub>2<\/sub>X<sub>2<\/sub> + \u2026. + B<sub>k<\/sub>X<sub>k <\/sub><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Log odds = B<sub>0<\/sub> + B<sub>1<\/sub>X<sub>1 <\/sub>+ B<sub>2<\/sub>X<sub>2<\/sub> +B<sub>3<\/sub>X<sub>3 <\/sub>+ B<sub>4<\/sub>X<sub>4<\/sub> + B<sub>5<\/sub>X<sub>5<\/sub>+ B<sub>6<\/sub>X<sub>6<\/sub>+ B<sub>7<\/sub>X<sub>7<\/sub>+ B<sub>8<\/sub>X<sub>8<\/sub>+ B<sub>9<\/sub>X<sub>9<\/sub>+ B<sub>10<\/sub>X<sub>10<\/sub>+ B<sub>11<\/sub>X<sub>11<\/sub>+ B<sub>12<\/sub>X<sub>12<\/sub>+ B<sub>13<\/sub>X<sub>13<\/sub><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Log odds = -1.066 -.708X<sub>1 <\/sub>&#8211; .942X<sub>2<\/sub>+1.137X<sub>3 <\/sub>-.705X<sub>4<\/sub> -.658X<sub>5 <\/sub>-1.716 X<sub>6<\/sub>-.874 X<sub>7<\/sub>+1.136 X<sub>8<\/sub>-.902X<sub>9<\/sub>&#8211; .584X<sub>10<\/sub>+ .612X<sub>11<\/sub>+ .593X<sub>12<\/sub>-1.666X<sub>13,1<\/sub>-1.189 X<sub>13,2<\/sub>-.769 X<sub>13,3 <\/sub>\u062d\u064a\u062b \u0627\u0646 :<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>1<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>2<\/sub> : \u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>3<\/sub> : \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>4<\/sub> : \u062a\u0644\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>5<\/sub> : \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>6<\/sub> : \u0647\u0644 \u064a\u063a\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0621\u060c\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629\u060c\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u060c\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0646) .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>7<\/sub> : \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0646 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>8<\/sub> : \u0645\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647\u0640 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>9<\/sub> : \u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>10<\/sub> : \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062b \u060c\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>11<\/sub> : \u0645\u0627\u0647\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0649 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>12<\/sub> : \u0647\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">X<sub>13<\/sub> : \u0645\u0627\u0647\u0648 \u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 .<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong> \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0640\u0627\u0626\u062c:-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0639\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u060c \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 :-<\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li>\u0639\u0646\u062f \u062a\u0648\u0641\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a \u060c \u062a\u0648\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u0647\u064a : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 \u060c \u062a\u0631\u062a\u064a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062f \u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u060c \u062a\u0644\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u062b\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0645\u0644 \u060c \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0641\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u060c \u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u063a\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0646 \u060c \u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0646 \u060c \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647\u0640 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u060c \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 (\u062a\u0644\u0648\u062b \u060c\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u060c \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0634\u0629 ) \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u060c \u062a\u062d\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0641\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645\u0633\u0629 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\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0636\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646 1993- 2008 &#8220;\u060c \u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631\u0627\u0647 \u062c\u0627\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0631\u0637\u0648\u0645 \u060c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u060c 2010 .<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b : \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062c\u0644\u064a\u0632\u064a\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Collett, D. (2003) .&#8221;Modelling Survival Data in Medical&#8221; . Research ,Chapman and Hall London .<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Cizek, J. and Fitzgerald, M. (1999). Methods,Plainly Speaking.&#8221; An Introduction to Logistic regression&#8221;.Measurement &amp; Evaluation in Counseling and Development. Vol.31, January, 1999.<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Sainani , K. (2005) . &#8221; Introduction to Cox Regression&#8221;. Department of Health Research and Policy, Stanford University, USA .<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Hosmer, D. and Lemeshow, S. (2000). &#8220;Applied Logistic Regression&#8221;. 2<sup>nd<\/sup> edition. New York: Johnson Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc .<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Hosmer, D. and Lemeshow, S. &amp; May, R. (2007). &#8221; Applied Survival Analsis:Regression Modeling of Time to Event Data&#8221; . 2nd edition Wiley , New York ,USA .<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Kalbfleisch, D. and Prentice , L. (2002).&#8221; The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data &#8221; . 2nd ed. Wiley , New York .<\/li>\n<li dir=\"ltr\">Namboodiri , K. and Suchindran , M. (1987). &#8221; life tables technigues and their applications &#8221; . academic press , Inc., New York .<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u064b: \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629 :<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.unicef.org\/sudan\/ar\">https:\/\/www.unicef.org\/sudan\/ar<\/a> \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646\u0633\u064a\u0641 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">https:\/\/www.un.org\/sustainabledevelopment\/ar\/health\/(Accessed 15\/3\/2024)<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">https:\/\/www.who.int\/ar\/news-room\/fact-sheets\/detail\/children-reducing-mortality.<\/li>\n<\/ol>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 :- \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0629 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0643\u0627\u0626\u0646 \u062d\u064a \u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u0645\u0646 \u0644\u0622\u062e\u0631 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0633 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0635\u0627\u0626\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0647\u0627 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-13620","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13620"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13644,"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13620\/revisions\/13644"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hnjournal.net\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}